Swiss Franc The Euro is down by 0.53% to 1.1628 CHF. This is the fifth day in sequence that the Swiss Franc appreciated. Italy political drama is has spurred a significant rally in the Swiss franc. Over the past five days, it has been the strongest of the majors, rising 1.1% against the dollar and 1.8% against the euro. Today, it is the only major currency beside the yen that is gaining ground. Italian assets were...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: Dollar Power
There are several trends in the capital markets at a high-level. The euro and yen’s decline has coincided with sustained rallies in European and Japanese equity benchmarks. Emerging market equities and currencies have been trending lower. There are two other trends that arguably are reinforcing if not causing the other trends. Both oil prices and U0S interest rates have been trending higher. It is unusual but not...
Read More »FX Daily, May 18: EUR/CHF Continues the Collapse
Swiss Franc The Euro is down by 0.54% to 1.1743 CHF. This is the fifth day in sequence that the Swiss Franc appreciated. Reasons are: Weaker than expected euro zone GDP growth in Q1, in particular in Germany. However this “soft-patch” should have been clear to everybody. So it cannot be the main reason. Still the weak German GDP was the trigger for EUR weakness. A dovish European Central Bank. Already at the press...
Read More »FX Daily, May 16: US Yields Soften After Yesterday’s Surge
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.40% to 1.1804 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 16(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is mixed today after the Dollar Index rose to new 2018 highs yesterday. It is being driven by rising US rates, which also punishes short dollar positions. The US 10-year yield rose seven basis points yesterday to nearly 3.10%. It...
Read More »FX Daily, May 15: Firm US Rates Underpin Greenback
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.44% to 1.1877 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 15(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates US 10-year rates are again probing the air above 3%, and this is encouraging a push back toward JPY110, with the euro slipping toward $1.19. Asian equities fell, with the MSCI Asia Pacific shedding 0.8%, the most in nearly a month, snapping a...
Read More »FX Daily, May 14: US Dollar Slips in Quiet Turnover
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.10% to 1.1939 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is sporting a softer profile against most of the major and emerging market currencies to start the new week. It already seemed to be tiring in the second half of last week. With today’s mild losses, Dollar Index is off for a...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: Fed Can Look Through the Data Easier than the ECB and BOJ
Geopolitical issues will continue to bubble below the surface for the capital markets. The fallout from the reimposition of US sanctions on Iran has apparently helped lift oil prices in the face of the rising dollar, which often acts as a drag. In the coming days, the US will take the symbolic step of moving its embassy to Jerusalem. The conflict between Israel and Iranian forces in Syria is escalating. Meanwhile, US...
Read More »FX Daily, May 11: Dollar Momentum Sapped, Near-Term Pullback Likely
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.11% to 1.1937 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 11(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar pulled back following yesterday’s slightly softer than expected CPI report and this likely marks the beginning of a new phase, with the dollar moving lower. Investors have learned over the past two weeks that neither wages nor...
Read More »FX Daily, May 10: Kiwi Tumbles on Dovish RBNZ, While Sterling Goes Nowhere Ahead of BOE
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.18% to 1.1931 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is consolidating in narrow trading against most of the major currencies as participants digest several developments ahead of what was expected to be the highlight today, the BOE meeting and US April CPI. The greenback’s...
Read More »FX Daily, May 09: Oil Prices Surge and Dollar Gains Extended Post Withdrawal Announcement
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.29% to 1.1914 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 09(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is broadly higher as the 10-year yield probes above 3.0%. Disappointing French industrial production and manufacturing data for March provided additional incentive, as if it were needed, to extend the euro’s losses. The euro...
Read More »