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Tag Archives: Euro

FX Weekly Review, October 17-21: Golden Cross in Dollar Index and Deadman’s Cross in the Euro

Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index was lagging once again compared to the dollar index. The dollar index is up exactly 3% this month, while the CHF index is down 2%. The EUR/CHF has reached the SNB intervention area at the “new floor area of 1.08 to 1.0850. On Monday we will learn about the latest SNB interventions in our weekly sight deposits. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, October 22 2016(see...

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FX Weekly Review, October 10-14: Rates Still Key to Dollar’s Outlook

Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index had once again a bad stance against the dollar index. The CHF index was down 1%. The dollar index, however, improved. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, October 15 2016(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ). - Click to enlarge Swiss Franc Currency Index (3 years) The Swiss Franc index is the trade-weighted currency performance (see the currency...

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FX Weekly Review, October 03-07: Dollar Profits on Strong ISM Index

Swiss Franc Currency Index The Franc index lost considerably in the last week, in particularly in comparison to the dollar index. Reason was the exceptionally strong U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index. Marc Chandler speaks about the jobs report that is rather a lagging indicator,  but I like to focus on the leading index., the ISM.My view is confirmed by the stronger dollar that reflect the ISM index, but not the...

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FX Weekly Review, September 26-30: Dollar vulnerable at the Start of Q4, CHF collapses at Quarter End

Summary The US dollar fell against most of the major currencies in Q3.  The Norwegian krone was the best performer, gaining 4.4% against the greenback.  It was helped by higher oil prices and a shift away from an easing bias by the central bank.  The relatively high interest rates offered by Australia and New Zealand underpinned their currencies, which gained 2.7% and 2.0% respectively. The dollar rose against three...

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FX Weekly Review, September 12 – September 16: Bad week of CHF Index against Dollar Index

This week we focus on the charts, we omit the technical explanations, given that Marc Chandler is currently on a two-weeks trip. The dollar was surprisingly strong this week. This despite a more hawkish ECB, bad U.S. economic data in the ISM surveys. Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index had a bad week with a bad Friday. The dollar index rose at the end. Swiss Franc Index Trade-weighted index Swiss...

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European Court of Justice Ruling Weighs on Italian Banks

Summary: ECJ uphold principle of bailing in junior creditors before the use of public funds. Italian banks shares snap a three-day advance. The EBA/ECB stress test results at the end of next week are the next big event. The European Court of Justice upheld the principle of making creditors bear the burden for investment in banks that sour before government funds can be used. Italian banks are particularly...

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The Brexit Effect: What’s Next for Markets

To say that the Brexit vote on June 23 took financial markets by surprise would be an understatement. The pound, British stocks, and Gilt yields had all risen sharply in the week leading up to the vote, only to crash once the results started coming in. Broadly speaking, strategists on Credit Suisse’s Global Markets and Investment Solutions and Products (IS&P) teams expect markets to remain volatile in the coming days and for investors to prefer safe assets to risky ones. Below, we...

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L’Allemagne est le patron-sponsor de l’Eurosystem. Liliane Held-Khawam

L’Eurosystem fait sauter les frontières nationales et unifie le système du trafic de paiement… Lors des échanges commerciaux et interbancaires, il y a des banques émettrices de monnaie et vis-à-vis une banque réceptrice. Normalement, à la fin de la journée, tout cela devrait être ramené à l’équilibre. Ceci n’est plus le cas depuis la crise américaine de 2007 (subprimes) comme nous le voyons sur le graphique ci-dessous de quelques pays de  la zone euro. Ces déséquilibres apparus  en 2007...

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