Swiss Franc The euro is higher at 1.0854 CHF (+0.06%). EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, June 07(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates Tomorrow may be the most important day of the quarter for investors. The ECB meets. The UK goes to the polls. Former FBI Comey testifies. Ahead of these significant events, the global capital markets are mostly quiet, with some pockets of activity. The US dollar is...
Read More »FX Daily, June 05: US Dollar Starts Important Week Mostly Stable to Higher
Swiss Franc The euro is lower at 1.0854 (-0.06%). EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, June 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is beginning what promises to be an important week on a steady to firmer note against most of the major currencies. It is a holiday in parts of Europe (e.g.,m Germany and Switzerland). Although excitement is not until Thursday’s ECB meeting, UK election, and...
Read More »FX Daily, June 02: Dollar Marks Time Ahead of US Jobs Report
Swiss Franc The euro has depreciated by 0.24% to 1.0868 CHF. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, June 02(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The foreign exchange market is becalmed, leaving the US dollar narrowly mixed. The euro has been confined to less than a 20-pip range through the Asian session and most of the European morning. The news stream is light. The US withdrawal from the Paris Accord...
Read More »FX Daily, June 01: Greenback Steadies at Lower Levels, Sterling Struggles
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.01% to 1.0883 CHF. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, June 01(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is mostly firmer against the major currencies. It is consolidating yesterday’s losses more than staging much of a recovery. Even sterling, where a YouGov poll has the Tory lead at three percentage points, down from seven previously, is above yesterday’s...
Read More »FX Daily, May 31: Sterling Takes it On the Chin
Swiss Franc The euro is lower at 1.0885 (-0.18%). EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, May 31(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF Corbyn gains on the Tories. Theresa May calling a snap general selection seemed to be a wise move while the opposition was so weak. With a Tory victory seeming almost inevitable at that point Sterling strengthened against the majority of major currencies. This is due to a...
Read More »Not Do We Need One, But Do We Need A Different One
On March 24, 2009, then US President Barack Obama gave a prime time televised press conference whose subject was quite obviously the economy and markets. The US and global economy was at that moment trying to work through the worst conditions since the 1930’s and nobody really had any idea what that would mean. As President, Obama’s main task was not to deliver specifics about auto lending or the inner workings at...
Read More »FX Daily, May 26: Anxiety Levels Rise Ahead of Weekend
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.01% to 1.0902 CHF. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, May 26(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The markets are unsettled. It is not so much in the magnitude of moves as the breadth of the move. The nearly 1% rally in gold is a tell, but also the inability of equity market to follow the lead of the US markets, where the S&P 500 and NASDAQ set new records. US...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: Nothing Like A Good US Drama
Summary: US drama distracts from the difficult and ambitious economic program. European and Japanese developments have been constructive. Bank of Canada is the only G7 central bank that meets, and it is not expected to shift from its cautious stance. The no-drama Obama has given way to “The Donald” who appears to be providing more melodrama than an Emmy-winning soap opera. To be sure it is not just him. Hope...
Read More »FX Daily, May 15: Softer Dollar and Yen to Start the Week
Swiss Franc . FX Rates The US dollar has opened the week softer against the major currencies, except for the Japanese yen. The disappointing US inflation and retail sales data before the weekend have not been shrugged off, even though the US 10-year yield is a little higher and expectations for a Fed hike next month continue to be elevated. There is more focus on positive developments elsewhere, especially in...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: Two Known Unknowns
Summary: The Trump Administration seems to be trying to cast the US as a revisionist power. Or perhaps it is like Roman emperors long ago trying to draw greater tribute from others. The outlook of US interest rates is critical to the outlook of the dollar. The main risk to investors in the week ahead comes from two unknowns. On the international stage, the biggest change in the last six months is not China or...
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