MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Alhambra Investments' CIO Jeffrey Snider to the show. Jeff gives the first truly credible counter-argument to date for the secular inflation thesis that so many of our previous expert guests have come around to in the last couple of years. 00:00 Intro 00:38 Market Wrap 13:38 Feature Interview with Jeff Snider 59:30 Postgame - Can the Trends Continue? Download Jeff's Charts ??https://bit.ly/3HxDIQ9 Find Making Sense Eurodollar University...
Read More »Jeff Snider on "Why Aren’t Banks Lending?"
In this video, Jeff Snider breaks down exactly why banks won't lend even 12 years after the 2008 financial crisis. Could this lack of growth lead to another global depression like the 1870's & 1930's or, are we already there? Clip taken from our full length interview with Jeff Snider & Emil Kalinowski
Read More »Swiss Trade Balance October 2021: chemistry-pharma tarnishes the foreign trade table
We do not like Purchasing Power or Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) as measurement for currencies. For us, the trade balance decides if a currency is overvalued. Only the trade balance can express productivity gains, while the REER assumes constant productivity in comparison to trade partners. Who has read Michael Pettis, knows that a rising trade surplus may also be caused by a higher savings rate while the trade partners decided to spend more. This is partially...
Read More »Top 1% Gains More Wealth Than the Combined GDPs of Japan, Germany, UK, France, India and Italy, Bottom 50%–You Get Nothing
Given that political power in America is a pay-to-play auction in which the highest bidder wins, how this incomprehensibly lopsided ownership of wealth plays out is an open question. Wealth inequality easily falls into an abstraction unless we contextualize it in meaningful ways. I’ve annotated two St. Louis Federal Reserve (FRED) charts–the net worth of America’s top 1% and the net worth of America’s bottom 50% of households, roughly 66 million households–to show...
Read More »Homicide Rates in 2020 Rose to a 24-Year High. Is This a Crisis of State Legitimacy?
By mid 2020, it was already becoming clear that the United States was experiencing a spike in crime. Indeed, by midyear, numerous media outlets were already reporting remarkably large increases in homicide in a number of cities. It was clear that if then-current trends continued, homicide rates in the United States would reach levels not seen in over a decade. With full-year data for 2020 now available from the FBI’s Crime in the USA report, we can see that those...
Read More »UBS celebrates 50 years in Singapore, as a window to the world, connecting people and ideas
Singapore, 17 November – UBS is celebrating 50 successful years in Singapore with the official opening of its largest Asia Pacific office at 9 Penang Road. In the launch ceremony officiated by Axel A. Weber, Chairman of the Board of Directors UBS Group AG and Ralph Hamers, UBS Group CEO, the bank marked the occasion with clients, employees, and community activities in Singapore. Singapore’s Minister for Finance, Lawrence Wong, was the guest-of-honor for the event,...
Read More »Devisen: Euro weiter unter Druck – EUR/CHF knapp über 1,05
Zum Franken blieb der Euro auch im Tagestief nur noch knapp oberhalb der Marke von 1,05. Aktuell wird die Gemeinschaftswährung mit 1,0511 Franken tiefer bewertet als noch am Morgen und am Vortag. “Die Devisenhändler bei der Schweizerischen Nationalbank dürften wieder etwas strammer vor ihren Bildschirmen sitzen”, heisst es in einem Kommentar der Commerzbank. Die SNB sehe die Marke von 1,05 als aktuelle “Schmerzgrenze”, welche mit Devisenmarktinterventionen...
Read More »What the United States Can Learn from the European City-States
Over the past year and a half, we have seen some of the largest divides in US state policy in recent history. Certain states such as California have implemented heavy lockdowns, mask mandates, curfews, and other restrictions for months on end, whereas states such as South Dakota never had an official lockdown to begin with. There is now also the heated policy issue of vaccine mandates, with certain locations such as New York City and Los Angeles requiring proof of...
Read More »Why QE Is NOT Money Printing | Jeff Snider & Emil Kalinowski
In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments & Emil Kalinowski, Mining & Metals Researcher. Jeff & Emil are hosts of Eurodollar University, a podcast dedicated to analyzing the 2007 malfunction of the monetary system - and how its continuing disorder - affects finance, politics and society. Jeff & Emil share their thoughts on the myth of central banking, the Fed's effect on financial markets, why QE is not money printing, the interest...
Read More »Crypto’s Crash and Stocks Head Higher
“Crypto’s Crash,” says some financial news headlines. The reality is Bitcoin, Ethereum and others are down about 10-15% in the last few days. The word “crash” may seem appropriate to describe the sharp decline, except 10%+ moves in a matter of days is the norm, not the exception for crypto. Ignoring the crypto crash, the S&P 500 went higher. The index is up over 25% this year. Despite such an outsized gain, the table below from LPL Research argues we should be...
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