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SNB & CHF

The Market Discounts around a 40% Chance of not One but Two 50 bp Cuts in last Three FOMC Meetings of the Year Ahead of Jobs Report

Overview: The US jobs report is front and center. The market is going into the report with about a 40% chance of a 50 bp Fed rate cut later this month. The Dollar Index is trading lower for the third consecutive session. Helped by the fifth consecutive decline in US 10-year yields, the yen approached last month's high but without the turmoil seen in July and August. Still, equity markets are under pressure. Most large markets in the Asia Pacific region fell. Taiwan...

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Technological Advances Make Things Better – Or Does It?

It certainly seems that technological advances make our lives better. Instead of writing a letter, stamping it, and mailing it (which was vastly more personal), we now send emails. Rather than driving to a local retailer or manufacturer, we order it online. Of course, we mustn’t dismiss the rise of social media, which connects us to everyone and everything more than ever. Economists and experts have long argued that technological advances drive U.S. economic...

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Debunking Alarmism over Artificial Intelligence

On November 30, 2022, ChatGPT was made available to the general public, and the world was forever changed. While many had prophesied about the potential impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) for years, ChatGPT gave us the first glimpse into an AI-powered future. The novelty of OpenAI’s creation propelled interest in AI into the stratosphere, while at the same time reigniting concerns about the impact of AI on the economy. One can easily imagine a “nightmare”...

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Droht ein Bitcoin-Crash bei einem Harris-Wahlsieg? Die Krypto-Positionen der Präsidentschaftskandidatin im Check

• Branche rätselt über Krypto-Strategien von Kamala Harris <br> • Harris signalisiert Bereitschaft zur Krypto-Förderung <br> • Kritiker warnen: Alles nur vorgetäuschtes Wahlkampfmanöver? <br> <!-- sh_cad_1 --> Laut <!--#BNL#topicId#98-->Donald Trump<!--#ENL--> werde ein Wahlsieg der demokratischen Kandidatin Kamala Harris bei den... [embedded content]...

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Who Caused the Recent Wave of Inflation?

A study from The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco claims that most of the price inflation that plagued the US economy over the past few years was due to global supply chain disruptions, due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Is this a valid study, or an attempt by the Fed to evade responsibility for our recent economic troubles?There are several problems with this study. First, this study aims at establishing a correlation between supply chain disruptions and “above...

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Kamalanomics: More Inflation for America

In a recent interview with CNN, Kamala Harris said that Bidenomics is working and that she is “proud of bringing inflation down.”However, the Bureau of Labor Statistics published the latest CPI at 2.9%, despite annual inflation being 1.4% when she took office. Inflation is a disguised tax and accumulated inflation since January 2021, when the Biden-Harris administration started, has increased more than 20%.Of course, Democrats blame inflation on the war, the...

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Food Price Controls are a Losing Issue

The central problem with government economic policies is that many bad economic policies are politically advantageous. Hence, politicians enact policies that many of them know don’t work just to stay in power. Price controls are bad economic policy. Democrat Presidential candidate Kamala Harris wants to empower the Federal Trade Commission to stop “food price gouging” with what would amount to price ceilings.Price ceilings cause shortages of goods and wasteful...

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Trump and Harris Ignore a Great Danger Facing America

The Penn Wharton Budget Model, a think tank headquartered at the University of Pennsylvania, recently released a study claiming former President Donald Trump’s economic plans would add about four trillion dollars to the national deficit over ten years while Vice President Kamala Harris’s economic plans would add about two trillion dollars.Vice President Harris would increase the deficit largely through expanding refundable tax credits such as the child tax credit....

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Education: Labeling vs. Tailoring

I recently had the opportunity to attend a homeschool resource fair at a small local school for the arts in my hometown. Every classroom and corridor was filled with tables covered in information about homeschool co-ops, clubs, private classes and teachers. Everything from ballet to robotics, art, woodworking, and every conceivable academic approach were represented by eager adults, excited to share their particular interest and expertise, and most of it free.The...

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From Brazil to the US: The Global War on Free Speech

What is the Mises Institute? The Mises Institute is a non-profit organization that exists to promote teaching and research in the Austrian School of economics, individual freedom, honest history, and international peace, in the tradition of Ludwig von Mises and Murray N. Rothbard. Non-political, non-partisan, and non-PC, we advocate a radical shift in the intellectual climate, away from statism and toward a private property order....

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