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SNB & CHF

FX Daily, January 11: Trade Optimism and the Recovery in Oil Boosts Risk Appetites

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.26% at 1.1287 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 11(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Optimism on trade talks between the US and China coupled with the biggest rally in WTI in two years (11%+) have helped keep the equity market recovery intact.The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose today, the eighth time in the past ten...

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…And Get Bigger

Just as there is gradation for positive numbers, there is color to negative ones, too. On the plus side, consistently small increments marked by the infrequent jump is never to be associated with a healthy economy let alone one that is booming. A truly booming economy is one in which the small positive numbers are rare. The recovery phase preceding the boom takes that to an extreme. If conditions swing the other way,...

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Question of the week: do we still need a standard retirement age?

© Rawpixelimages | Dreamstime.com Reaching the official retirement age1 is an important milestone for many people. Some look forward to it while others dread it. Some dreading it would prefer to continue working either because they enjoy their work or would like the extra income. Some feel they are being systematically and unfairly labelled too old to work. A survey by the bank UBS showed that many people now don’t feel...

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The Recession Will Be Unevenly Distributed

Those households, enterprises and organizations that have no debt, a very low cost basis and a highly flexible, adaptable structure will survive and even prosper. The coming recession will be unevenly distributed, meaning that it will devastate many while leaving others relatively untouched. A few will actually do better in the recession than they did in the so-called “recovery.” I realize many of the concepts floated...

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Gold Outlook 2019: Uncertainty Makes Gold A “Valuable Strategic Asset” – WGC

Gold Outlook 2019 – World Gold Council As we look ahead, we expect that the interplay between market risk and economic growth in 2019 will drive gold demand. And we explore three key trends that we expect will influence its price performance: financial market instability monetary policy and the US dollar structural economic reforms. Against this backdrop, we believe that gold has an increasingly relevant role to...

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Will the SNB ever make profits again?

  The increasing volatility of SNB Earnings Annual results are not really definite. Given that the SNB accumulates foreign currencies with interventions, they have huge swings. But the SNB may lose 50 billion in one year and win 60 billion in the next year or vice verse. Good years of the Credit Cycle: Rising Bond and Stock Prices until 2017 Until 2017, the SNB was able to profit on a secular tendency where both stock...

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FX Daily, January 10: Equity Bounce Stalls while the Greenback Steadies at Lower Levels

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.39% at 1.1288 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Equities, bonds and the dollar are consolidating the moves seen earlier this week. This means equities are trading heavy and bonds firmer. The euro is paring gains that carried it to its best level (~$1.1570) since mid-October. After...

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Swiss National Bank Suffers $15 Billion Loss On 2018 Market Rout

SNB US Stock Holdings In the third quarter of 2018, the hedge fund known as the Swiss National Bank did something it had not done in years: it sold stocks. As we showed in November, the overall value of the SNB’s US listed long holdings rose by over $2 billion to $90 billion, but all of this was due to the price appreciation as the central bank sold around $7bn of equities in Q3. This compares to purchases during 1H18...

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Euro Credit: 2019 Outlook

After a negative 2018, developments in Italy and indirect ECB support will help define the road ahead for European corporate bonds. Last year was a difficult one for euro credit, with both the ICE Bank of America Merrill Lynch (ICE BofAML) investment grade (IG) and high yield (HY) indices posting negative total returns. This was entirely due to wider credit spreads, as medium-term German government bonds yields fell...

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Central bank faces loss of CHF15 billion

SNB President Thomas Jordan looks back on a weak annual results following a bumper year in 2017. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) says it expects to report a loss of about CHF15 billion ($15.3 billion) for 2018, mainly because of a weak performance of foreign currency positions. In a report on provisional annual calculations, the SNB said on Wednesday that the federal and cantonal authorities would nonetheless still...

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