Tag Archives: USD

Swiss Franc The EUR/CHF ended the evening at 1.0810. The question is if the SNB was intervening or not. We are convinced that the “new floor” is the area between 1.08 and 1.0850. Hence there should be stronger interventions going on. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 21 2016(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is firm especially against the European complex and emerging...

This afternoon I had the privilege of being on Bloomberg TV, with anchors Scarlet Fu and Matt Miller. I was joined by an old market friend Bob Sinche. We had a lively discussion (what did you expect?) on two issues. The first was on the ECB. At his press conference earlier today, Draghi indicated that the question of extending QE and tapering was not discussed.  Bob argued that this was disingenuous. Of course it is...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 20 2016(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF rates have fallen dramatically over the past month, as Sterling continues to find itself under pressure against the major currencies. However, despite these losses it is not all doom and gloom for those clients holding GBP, as Tuesday’s positive spike for the Pound proved. Currency does not move in a...

Summary: Extending or tapering QE was not discussed, but means little in terms of what the ECB decides in Sept. Draghi said growth risks are on the downside and inflation has yet to enter a meaningful uptrend. Reiterates that abrupt end of purchases is unlikely. ECB President Draghi said nothing to dampen expectations that in December, with the cover of new staff forecasts, the asset purchase program will...

Swiss Franc The Swiss Franc has strengthened against the pound as global uncertainty persists in the form of the UK’s Brexit vote and the US Presidential Election. Looking ahead it seems the CHF may soften a little as we learn of the new President, I found it very interesting that yesterday Paddy Power paid out on any bets for Hilary Clinton to become President in the United States. This is a great indication of the...

Summary: Draghi will like emphasis inflation is the key to policy and ECB is committed using allow for its technical tools to achieve its legal mandate. Key decisions will be made in December. The more the euro rises against sterling, the greater the pressure for the euro to fall against the dollar. Mario Draghi - Click to enlarge The ECB meets tomorrow. Few, if any, are expecting fresh action. The...

Summary: Oil has rallied 20% since mid-September. Market may be getting ahead of itself. US rig count has risen by more than 100 in less than 4-months and inventories, seasonally adjusted are at record highs. The price of oil has risen more than 20% over the past month. It is being driven by ideas that OPEC (and Russia) may implement a freeze or an output cut at the end of next month.  At the same time, US...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 17 2016(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is consolidating in relatively narrow trading ranges. Participants appear to be waiting for fresh incentives, while the recent rise yields continue and equities have begun the new week on a soft note. Yellen spoke before the weekend, and her explicit willingness to tolerate higher...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 17 2016(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is consolidating in relatively narrow trading ranges. Participants appear to be waiting for fresh incentives, while the recent rise yields continue and equities have begun the new week on a soft note. Yellen spoke before the weekend, and her explicit willingness to tolerate higher...

Summary: Bank of Canada meets Wed. Look for a dovish hold. Foreigners continue to buy Canadian bonds and stocks. The EU-Canadian free-trade deal is facing challenges, with the most pressing one coming from Belgium. The Bank of Canada meets Wednesday. Last month officials acknowledged that growth could be somewhat lower than previously anticipated. Those fears have likely materialized, and the central bank...