– Gold surges as N. Korea fires ballistic missile over Japan– Safe haven buying sees gold break out to 10-month high after Jackson Hole and rising North Korea risk of attack on Guam – South Korea’s air force dropped eight MK 84 bombs near Seoul; simulating the destruction of North Korea’s leadership– Gold rises from $1,291 to $1,325; Silver surges 3.2% from $17.05 to $17.60– Volatility as seen in VIX surges as stocks...
Read More »Cabinet Called on to Join EU’s no-roaming Charges Deal
Any deal would have significant implications for Switzerland’s largest telecom, Swisscom. (© KEYSTONE / GAETAN BALLY) The cantonal government of Graubünden has demanded that the cabinet sign Switzerland up to European Union rules abolishing roaming charges. Without such an agreement, the Swiss tourist industry is at a disadvantage, the Graubünden government said in a letter sent last week to Swiss president, Doris...
Read More »Bank lobby group sees hope for shrinking Swiss sector
Martin Hess believes Swiss banking fortunes can lift despite ongoing challenges (Keystone) - Click to enlarge The Swiss banking sector shrank once again last year in terms of banks, profits, share of offshore wealth under management and number of employees. The Swiss Bankers Association (SBA) nevertheless believes there are positives to be found amidst the bleak figures. “In an environment where banks have to cope...
Read More »Deja Vu
According to orthodox theory, if interest rates are falling because of term premiums then that equates to stimulus. Term premiums are what economists have invented so as to undertake Fisherian decomposition of interest rates (so that they can try to understand the bond market; as you might guess it doesn’t work any better). It is, they claim, the additional premium a bond investor demands so as to hold a security that...
Read More »FX Daily, August 31: US Core PCE Deflator may Challenge the Greenback’s Firmer Tone
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.05% to 1.1441 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 31(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar recovery was marginally extendedin Asia, and while it remains firm, it is lost some of its momentum. The Fed’s target inflation measure, the core PCE deflator, may decline from 1.5% to 1.4%, according to the median forecast in...
Read More »Swiss Agency Reports Major Breach of Online Credentials
The number of cyber-attacks in Switzerland is reportedly on the rise (Keystone) Around 21,000 passwords and personal details used to access online services have been stolen and could be used illegally, Switzerland’s cybercrime monitoring centre has reported. The Reporting and Analysis Centre for Information Assurance (MELANI) said on Tuesday that a confidential source had sent copies of the stolen data to the cybercrime...
Read More »Hidden Forces of Economics
Waiting for the Flood We have noticed a proliferation of pundits, newsletter hawkers, and even mainstream market analysts focusing on one aspect of the bitcoin market. Big money, institutional money, public markets money, is soon to flood into bitcoin. Or so they say. We will not offer our guess as to whether this is true. Instead, we want to point out something that should be self-evident. If big money is soon to come...
Read More »Diversify Into Gold On U.S. “Political Instability” Advise Blackrock
Gold set to shine as Washington stumbles “Bet on gold’s diversifying properties rather than political stability” World’s largest asset manager believes Trump and political drama in the U.S. means gold likely to rise Real rates flattening out and rising political instability – Blackrock’s Koesterich “For now my bias would be to stick with gold” – Blackrock U.S. debt ceiling issue to be fractious as bankrupt U.S....
Read More »Currency Risk That Isn’t About Exchange Values (Eurodollar University)
This week the Bureau of Economic Analysis will release updated estimates for Q2 GDP as well as Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and Personal Incomes for July. Accompanying those latter two accounts is the currently preferred inflation standard for the US economy. The PCE Deflator finally hit 2% and in two consecutive months, after revisions, earlier this year. - Click to enlarge The inability of consumer...
Read More »Les réserves de la BNS au service des investisseurs étrangers
M Cedric Tille, professeur d’Economie (Cédric tille bns) vient de publier une étude fort intéressante qui gagne à être découverte. Elle cartographie la position économique de la Suisse par rapport au reste du monde. Il démontre à quel point la structure qui compose le moteur économique, financier et monétaire de la Suisse dans ses relations avec l’étranger avait changé en dix ans. Grâce à lui, nous voyons que la BNS se...
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