Dollar-yen has been driven by the sharp rise in US bond yields. There are some (dollar) bearish divergences in the JPY/USD technicals. US 10-year yields may also be putting in a near-term top. Since the US election nearly a month ago, the Japanese yen has been the weakest performing major currency. It has fallen 7.5% against the US dollar. At the risk of oversimplifying, there is one major drag on the yen, and that...
Read More »FX Daily, December 05: Dollar Comes Back Bid, but Still Vulnerable to Corrective Pressures
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates After softening ahead of the weekend, the US dollar has begun the new week on a firm note. It is gaining against most major and emerging market currencies. Outside of what appears to be a staged call between US President Elect Trump and the Taiwanese President, the developments in Europe grabbed the...
Read More »FX Daily, December 02: Is it About US Jobs Today?
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 02(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Federal Reserve The capital markets are finishing the week amid speculation that the driving forces of the past three weeks are ebbing. Global equities and the dollar may be snapping three-week advances. The issue is whether it is a consolidation or trend change. The former is a more prudent assumption until...
Read More »FX Daily, December 02: Is it About US Jobs Today?
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 02(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Federal Reserve The capital markets are finishing the week amid speculation that the driving forces of the past three weeks are ebbing. Global equities and the dollar may be snapping three-week advances. The issue is whether it is a consolidation or trend change. The former is a more prudent assumption until...
Read More »FX Daily, November 30: Renewed OPEC Hopes and Month End Featured
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Rates for buying Swiss Francs dollars remain incredibly subdued post Brexit but there has been a general improvement over the last month. Rates for the moment appear to have found support over 1.24 for GBP CHF and this has largely come about following the Trump US presidential election victory. Despite a leaked...
Read More »FX Daily, November 30: Renewed OPEC Hopes and Month End Featured
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Rates for buying Swiss Francs dollars remain incredibly subdued post Brexit but there has been a general improvement over the last month. Rates for the moment appear to have found support over 1.24 for GBP CHF and this has largely come about following the Trump US presidential election victory. Despite a leaked...
Read More »FX Daily, November 29: Dollar Comes Back Mostly Firmer, but Focus is Elsewhere
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 29(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar correctly lowered yesterday, but most of the selling was over by the end of the Asian session, and the greenback steadied in Europe and North America. The dollar is firm against the euro and yen but within yesterday’s broad trading ranges. The Australian and Canadian dollar’s gains from...
Read More »Great Graphic: Yen and Yuan Connection
The US dollar has rallied against both the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan since the end of September. Through today, the yen has fallen 9.8% and the yuan has fallen by 3.5%. What they have in common is the rise in US interest rates relative to their own. Since September 30, the US 10-year yield has from below 1.60% to above 2.40% at the end of last week. Japan’s 10-year yield has risen from minus nine basis points...
Read More »FX Daily, November 28: Corrective Forces Seen in Asia, Subside in Europe
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 28(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates As soon as markets opened in Asia, the greenback was sold, and corrective forces that had been nipping below the surface took hold. The euro, which had finished last week below $1.0590, rallied nearly a cent. Before the weekend, the greenback had pushed to almost JPY114, an eight-month high, before...
Read More »FX Daily, November 25: Corrective Forces Emerge, but Underlying Trend is Evident
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 25(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar’s recent gains are being trimmed today, and it is down against all the major currencies. Many emerging market currencies, including the Turkish lira, Indian rupee, and Hungarian forint are firmer today. The dollar’s losses are minor, and the forces that drove it higher remain intact. One of...
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