Tag Archives: FX Trends

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 16(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates Some mild position squaring pressures are evident ahead of the weekend, and for many market participants the year is coming to an end. Outside of the BOJ meeting next week, the calendar turns light and markets are moving into holiday mode. The Dollar Index is seeing this week’s gains trimmed, but it is...

Summary: Biggest change is that Fed sees three instead of two hikes next year. Minor tweaks in the forecasts. Fiscal policy could raise the long-run growth potential, which would be a net good but not needed to reach full employment. As has been tipped since at September the Federal Reserve increased the Fed funds target range by 25 bp to 50-75 bp.  The market’s understanding of the Fed reaction function and the...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 15(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge Sterling has made steady gains against the CHF over the past month and although the spike has levelled this week, the Pound has certainly gained a foothold. Yesterday’s decision by the US Federal Reserve to raise their base rate from 0.25% to 0.5% did little to shift the value of GBP/CHF but with investors...

I had the privilege of joining Scarlet Fu and Joe Wisenthal on the set of What’d You Miss on Bloomberg TV yesterday afternoon. It was within a couple of hours of the second Fed rate hike in a decade.   The dollar rallied.I was surprised by the changed forecasts.  The median forecast, which is not the same thing as the Fed view, edged about 25 bp higher across the forecasting horizon. I had thought the the aspirational...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge The Pound is entering mid-December in the same fashion it begun the month after having a very strong November as well. After being buoyed by Donald Trump’s victory and the High Courts ruling that parliamentary approval is needed before invoking Article 50, the Pound has been boosted further after economic data...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge The Pound is entering mid-December in the same fashion it begun the month after having a very strong November as well. After being buoyed by Donald Trump’s victory and the High Courts ruling that parliamentary approval is needed before invoking Article 50, the Pound has been boosted further after economic data...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is little changed against most of the major currencies.  The dollar finished yesterday’s North American session on a soft note, but follow through selling has been limited.  After rallying to near 10-month high above JPY116 yesterday, the greenback finished on session lows near JPY115.00. ...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is little changed against most of the major currencies.  The dollar finished yesterday’s North American session on a soft note, but follow through selling has been limited.  After rallying to near 10-month high above JPY116 yesterday, the greenback finished on session lows near JPY115.00. ...

Summary: The UK reports inflation, employment and retail sales this week. The BOE meets but will keep rates steady. The US 2-year premium over the UK is the highest since at least 1992 today. United Kingdom While the Federal Reserve meeting is the highlight this week, the UK has a number economic reports and the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee meets.   The UK reports inflation tomorrow, followed...

Summary: The UK reports inflation, employment and retail sales this week. The BOE meets but will keep rates steady. The US 2-year premium over the UK is the highest since at least 1992 today. United Kingdom While the Federal Reserve meeting is the highlight this week, the UK has a number economic reports and the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee meets.   The UK reports inflation tomorrow, followed...