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Tag Archives: FOMC

FX Daily April 27: Two Issues Loom Large Today: Soft Australia CPI and FOMC

The foreign exchange market is largely quiet as the market awaits fresh trading incentives and the FOMC statement later in the North American session.  The main exception to the consolidative tone is the Australian dollar, which is posting its largest loss (~1.7%) in a couple of months. The short-term market was caught the wrong-footed when Australia reported an unexpected decline in Q1 CPI.  The 0.2% decline contrasts to expectations for an increase of the same magnitude.  The...

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The Week Ahead: FOMC, BOJ and More

The last week of April is eventful. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan hold policy meetings.  The UK, eurozone, and the US provide the first estimates of Q1 GDP. Japan, the eurozone, and Australia report consumer prices, while the US updates the Fed’s preferred (targeted) inflation measure, the core deflator of personal consumption expenditures.   These events will not take place in a vacuum.  The backdrop is an improving tone in the global capital...

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We expect the Fed to remain on hold in March and that it will hike ‘only’ twice this year

Macroview The Fed no longer considers that the risks to the outlook are ‘balanced’. However, yesterday's statement was not particularly dovish. After its meeting earlier this week, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) published a statement where, as widely expected, it acknowledged that “economic growth slowed late last year”. It also added a comment that “the Committee is closely monitoring global economic and financial developments and is assessing their implications for the labor...

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