Fears that the UK could leave the EU in a little over six months without an agreement continues to drag sterling lower. Recall that over the weekend, the UK’s International Trade Minister Fox suggested there was a 60% chance of a no-deal Brexit. A few days earlier BOE Carney said that although it was not the most likely scenario, the risks such a departure were “higher than comfort.” Sterling is lower for a fifth...
Read More »FX Daily, August 07: Turn Around Tuesday for the Greenback
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.18% to 1.1532 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 07(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is pulling back today after yesterday’s advance. All the major currencies are higher and even the Turkish lira, which plunged nearly 5% yesterday to cap a six-day slide, is trading firmer today ([email protected]). The dollar’s...
Read More »FX Daily, July 30: Equities, Bonds, and the Dollar Start Week Softer
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.03% to 1.159 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The week’s big events lie ahead. It is seen as the last important week before the dog days of summer when many participants will take holidays. The BOJ’s two-day meeting concludes tomorrow. Speculation that the BOJ is looking for ways to...
Read More »FX Daily, July 26: Equities like EU-US Trade Truce more than the Euro
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.29% to 1.1597 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 26(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The dollar is mostly firmer. The Australian dollar is off the most (~0.35%, ~$0.7425), after peaking a little above $0.7460. The price action reinforces the $0.7300-$0.7500 range. The yen is the strongest of the majors. Near JPY110.80, the yen...
Read More »FX Daily, July 18: Greenback Extends Gains-For Now
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.21% to 1.1635 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 18(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is at its best level here in July against the Canadian dollar. The CAD1.3265 area corresponds to a 61.8% retracement of the leg down in late June from almost CAD1.3390 to the recent low near CAD1.3065. The Australian dollar has...
Read More »FX Daily, July 17: Dollar on Back Foot Ahead of Powell
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.21% to 1.1645 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 17(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar eased in Asia session and the European morning. The greenback had appeared technically vulnerable, and the economic news stream is light. Sterling, unlike most of the other major currencies, remains within yesterday’s range....
Read More »FX Daily, July 13: Trump Trips Sterling, but Greenback Enjoys Broad Gains
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.01% to 1.1698 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Sterling’s 0.6% loss (@ ~$1.3120) is co-leading the downside in the firm US dollar environment, having to share that role with the New Zealand dollar today, where a weaker manufacturing PMI (52.8 from 54.4) is taking a toll. Both sterling and...
Read More »FX Daily, July 12: Dollar Remains Firm as Risk Returns
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.65% to 1.1698 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The dollar has broken out against the Japanese yen. Despite the global equity drop and decline in US yields, which often underpin the yen, the yen fell to its lowest level since early January yesterday and is continuing to sell-off today. The...
Read More »FX Daily, July 09: Possibility of a Soft Brexit Excites Sterling (too Early?)
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.17% to 1.164 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 09(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates After a little wobble, sterling has responded favorably to the resignation of the UK Brexit team led by David Davis. The idea is that a path to a softer Brexit is good for sterling. In fairness, it is a bit early to reach this conclusion, and...
Read More »FX Daily, June 22: BOE Spurs Dollar Pullback
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.23% to 1.153 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 22(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The euro and sterling closed above Wednesday’s highs yesterday, and after making new lows for the year, chartists regard the price action as a key reversal and the follow-through buying today confirms it. Although we expected a hawkish hold from...
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