This via the folks at eFX. Danske forecast via eFX: “We expect the SNB to hike by 50bp again in September and December to curtail underlying inflation pressures bringing the policy rate to 0.75%. With the SNB broadly following the ECB, we see relative rates as an inferior driver for the cross,” Danske notes. “We continue to forecast the cross to move lower on the back of fundamentals and a tighter global investment environment. We thus lower our overall forecast...
Read More »FX Daily, July 8: Abe’s Assassination Shocks the World
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.14% to 0.9906 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 8(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge Overview: News that former Prime Minister Abe was assassinated while campaigning in Japan ahead of the weekend election shocked the nation and world. The immediate market impact looks minimal. Asia Pacific equities mostly advanced. Chinese stocks were the main exception and generally underperformed the...
Read More »FX Daily, July 16: BOJ Tweaks Forecasts
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.10% to 1.085 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 16(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The markets head into the weekend with little fanfare. Most large equity markets in the Asia Pacific region slipped earlier today. Hong Kong, which will be exempt from the need to secure mainland’s cybersecurity approval for foreign IPOs, and Australia were notable exceptions. European...
Read More »Swiss Producer and Import Price Index in June 2021: +2.9 percent YoY, +0.3 percent MoM
13.07.2021 – The Producer and Import Price Index rose in June 2021 by 0.3% compared with the previous month, reaching 102.7 points (December 2020 = 100). In particular, basic metals and semi-finished metal products, scrap and petroleum products saw higher prices. Compared with June 2020, the price level of the whole range of domestic and imported products rose by 2.9%. These are the results from the Federal Statistical Office (FSO). In particular, higher prices for...
Read More »FX Daily, July 12: Markets Adrift ahead of Key Events
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.04% to 1.0849 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The new week has begun quietly. The dollar is drifting a little higher against most major currencies, with the Scandis and dollar-bloc currencies the heaviest. The yen and Swiss franc’s resilience seen last week is carrying over. Most liquid and freely accessible emerging market...
Read More »FX Daily, July 09: PBOC Cuts Reserve Requirements after Inflation Measures Ease
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.17% to 1.0859 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 09(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The capital markets are winding down what has been a challenging week that has seen equity markets slide and the dollar and bonds rally. The MSCI Asia Pacific fell for the fourth consecutive session, but the more interesting story may be the intrasession recovery that could set the...
Read More »FX Daily, July 08: Capital Markets Remain Unhinged
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.51% to 1.0852 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 08(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The dramatic move in the capital markets continues. The US dollar is soaring as yields and equities slide. The US 10-year yield has fallen below 1.30 to 1.26% European benchmark yields are 1-4 bp lower, while Australia and New Zealand have seen a 7-9 bp drop today. Signals that the...
Read More »FX Daily, July 07: Dollar Stabilizes at Elevated Levels After Surging Yesterday
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.03% to 1.0922 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 07(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The dollar has steadied after surging yesterday and has so far retained the lion’s share of its gains, though it remains lower against most major currencies today. The dollar-bloc and Norwegian krone are the best performers while the yen is underperforming. The freely accessible...
Read More »FX Daily, July 06: Greenback Shows Some Resilency after Follow-Through Selling Dried up
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.13% to 1.0921 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 06(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Follow-through dollar selling stalled as key levels were approached, including $1.19 in the euro, $1.3900 in sterling, $0.7600 in the Australian dollar, and CAD1.2300. Sentiment is mixed after the greenback sold-off before last weekend despite the fastest jobs growth in 10-months....
Read More »FX Daily, July 02: US Jobs and OPEC+ Day
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.14% to 1.0946 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, July 02(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The US jobs report and OPEC+ decision are awaited. The dollar remains bid. Only the yen and Canadian dollar are showing a hint of resilience, though, on the week, the Scandis and dollar-bloc currencies are off between around 1-2%. The greenback is also firmer against the emerging...
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