Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, May 22(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates After being shellacked last week, the US dollar is trading with a firmer bias against all the major currencies, but the euro and New Zealand dollar. To be sure, it is not that a new development has emerged to take investors’ minds from intensifying political uncertainty in the US. Rather it seems to be simply...
Read More »FX Weekly Review, May 15-20: Swiss Franc recovering against EUR
Swiss Franc vs USD and EUR The Swiss Franc recovered a lot of the losses that came with the French elections. That political event was mostly driven by speculators that will close their positions. We expected the EUR to trade around 1.07 to 1.0750 CHF in some time. What exactly is this “some time” remains open, but is at the latest in early 2018. Many, like Thomas Flury, currency strategist at UBS, think that the...
Read More »FX Daily, May 19: Markets Trying to Stabilize Ahead of Weekend
Judging from investors’ reactions, the only thing worse that than the low volatility environment is when volatility spikes higher, as it did yesterday. Higher volatility is associated with weakening equity markets, falling interest rates, pressure on emerging markets, a strengthening yen and, sometimes, as was the case yesterday, heavier gold prices. A fragile stability has enveloped the markets after US equities...
Read More »FX Daily, May 18: Some Respite from US Politics as Sterling Surges Through $1.30
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, May 18(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates Yesterday’s dramatic response to the political maelstrom in Washington is over. The appointment of a special counsel to head up the FBI’s investigation into Russia’s attempt to influence the US election appears to have acted a circuit breaker of sorts. It is not sufficient to boost confidence that the Trump...
Read More »FX Daily, May 17: Drama In Washington Adds To Dollar Woes
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, May 17(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). GBP/CHF Inflation data weakens Sterling. Yesterday saw the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. CPI is a measure of inflation and yesterday we saw a rise from 2.3% to 2.7% month on month. Usually a rise in inflation is deemed as good for an economy, but on this occasion it is a worrying sign. The rapid rise is a direct result of the...
Read More »FX Daily, May 16: Greenback and Dollar Bloc Lose Ground to Europe and Yen
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, May 16(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates Dollar selling pressure emerged at the end of last week, partly in response to disappointing US economic data. This selling pressure carried over into yesterday’s activity. It appeared to have been trying to stabilize yesterday in the North American session. News that President Trump may have shared...
Read More »FX Daily, May 15: Softer Dollar and Yen to Start the Week
Swiss Franc . FX Rates The US dollar has opened the week softer against the major currencies, except for the Japanese yen. The disappointing US inflation and retail sales data before the weekend have not been shrugged off, even though the US 10-year yield is a little higher and expectations for a Fed hike next month continue to be elevated. There is more focus on positive developments elsewhere, especially in...
Read More »FX Weekly Review, May 08-13: Euro rises far above 1.09 CHF, for how long?
Swiss Franc The Swiss franc was the weakest of the majors. Its 1.7% fall was the largest in six months. Over the past month, the euro has rallied strongly against the Swiss franc. The 3.2% rally has seen the euro reach heights not see since last September. Thanks to the win of the pro-euro Macro, FX traders went long Euro and short CHF. The euro rose up to 1.0980. How long this momentum will last is still the question,...
Read More »FX Daily, May 12: Markets Becalmed Ahead of US data and Weekend
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, May 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF The pound to Swiss Franc rate has broken 1.30 this week as sterling has risen and investors confidence over the outlook for politics in the Eurozone increased. The election of Emmanuel Macron has removed the uncertainty over the increase in Europe of right-wing parties which could have threatened the...
Read More »FX Daily, May 11: Canadian and New Zealand Dollars Get Whacked, While Greenback Consolidates
Swiss Franc Switzerland Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY, April 2017(see more posts on Switzerland Consumer Price Index, ) Source: investing.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar has been mostly confined to about a 30 pip range against the euro and yen in Asia and the European morning. Sterling is under a little pressure after a series of poor data, including larger than expected falls in manufacturing and...
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