Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 25(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) Source: Investing.com - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF The pound is higher against the Swiss Franc as we finally get some clarity over just what Brexit means. The pound was initially expected to fall but contrary to popular expectation it found favour as Theresa May finally delivered some clarity over just what Brexit means. Most...
Read More »FX Daily, January 24: UK Supreme Court Requires May to Submit Bill on Brexit to Parliament
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 24(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF The Supreme Court ruling is finally upon us this morning which will determine whether or not UK Prime Minister Theresa May can invoke Article 50 to commence exit negotiations without as Act of Parliament. With so many political forces at work and a movement to keep Britain with as close ties as possible to...
Read More »UK Supreme Court Decision: Anti-Climactic?
Summary: Sterling retreats on court ruling but key supports hold and it recoups initial loss. The US dollar is recovering with the help of firming US yields. Investors are still anxious for details of new US government’s tax, deregulation, and infrastructure investment plans. The UK Supreme Court will hand down its ruling tomorrow on the government’s appeal of a High Court decision that recognized the right of...
Read More »FX Daily, January 23: Dollar’s Pre-Weekend Retreat Extended in Asia Before Stabilizing in Europe
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 23(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar had a poor close in the North American session before the weekend as investors appear increasing anxious about the new US Administration’s economic policies and priorities.With no fresh details emerging over the weekend, some stale dollar longs exited. The dollar stabilized in the European...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: The Challenging Week Ahead
Summary: Investors will finally be able to focus on what the new US President does rather than what he says. The UK Supreme Court decision is expected, but it may not be the driver than it may have previously seemed likely. The dollar-yen rate does not appear to be driven by domestic variable as much as US yields and equities. Prices not real sector data may be the key for the euro. United States The US...
Read More »Cool Video: Bloomberg’s Daybreak – Dollar Correction
Marc Chandler - Click to enlarge I was on Bloomberg’s Daybreak: Americas today. The issue at hand was about the dollar’s losses since the start of the year. I suggest that the correction actually began a day or so after the Federal Reserve hiked rates in mid-December. I noted that the correction was not just about the dollar but also interest rates. I suggest that interest rates are still key. The US 10-year yield...
Read More »FX Daily, January 20: Trump Day
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 20(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge The Pound has recovered some its losses from early last week following the speech made by Prime Minister Theresa May which covered the Brexit issue. We could see further volatility going into next week though when the Supreme Court judgement is due to be released. Theresa May has already announced that she will...
Read More »Draghi Lets Steam out of Euro
Summary: US reported stronger than expected series of data, including a large drop in weekly jobless claims for the week of the next NFP survey. Draghi remained dovish, with key phrases retained. Euro needs to break $1.0575 now to confirm a top is in place. Markets still uncertain ahead of the start of the new Administration. The combination of stronger US economy data and a dovish Draghi has seen the US...
Read More »FX Daily, January 19: Dollar Gives Back Most of Yellen-Inspired Gains
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 19(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF GBP/CHF has been range bound in recent weeks but anything but predictable! Of course one of the main, if not the main driver on this rollercoaster is the pound which has been much weaker and stronger according to the sentiments over the Brexit. On the whole the market is predicting the pound will be weaker...
Read More »FX Daily, January 18: Markets Stabilize, Awaiting Fresh Cues
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 18(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF Yesterday morning Theresa May, the UK Prime Minister set out a clear and realistic plan for the UK’s Brexit, which is likely to begin at the end of March this year. Many had expected to see her give a ‘Hard Brexit’ leaning speech and the Pound had lost value in the lead up to her comments, but when she...
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