Swiss Franc After touching 1.08, which apparently the “new floor”, the SNB moved the EUR/CHF upwards yesterday and Monday. Today’s EUR recovery against USD, let also the EUR/CHF rise. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 26(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar’s upside momentum reversed in North America yesterday and has been sold in Asia and Europe. This seems like mostly...
Read More »FX Weekly Review, October 17-21: Golden Cross in Dollar Index and Deadman’s Cross in the Euro
Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index was lagging once again compared to the dollar index. The dollar index is up exactly 3% this month, while the CHF index is down 2%. The EUR/CHF has reached the SNB intervention area at the “new floor area of 1.08 to 1.0850. On Monday we will learn about the latest SNB interventions in our weekly sight deposits. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, October 22 2016(see...
Read More »FX Weekly Review, October 10-14: Rates Still Key to Dollar’s Outlook
Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index had once again a bad stance against the dollar index. The CHF index was down 1%. The dollar index, however, improved. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, October 15 2016(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ). - Click to enlarge Swiss Franc Currency Index (3 years) The Swiss Franc index is the trade-weighted currency performance (see the currency...
Read More »FX Weekly Review, October 03-07: Dollar Profits on Strong ISM Index
Swiss Franc Currency Index The Franc index lost considerably in the last week, in particularly in comparison to the dollar index. Reason was the exceptionally strong U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index. Marc Chandler speaks about the jobs report that is rather a lagging indicator, but I like to focus on the leading index., the ISM.My view is confirmed by the stronger dollar that reflect the ISM index, but not the...
Read More »RBA meeting offers only near-term support for Aussie dollar
Central bank stance supports AUD in the short term, but a number of factors should weigh on currency over coming year. At its 4 October monetary policy meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left monetary policy stance broadly unchanged, with the cash rate remaining at 1.50%. This was the first monetary policy meeting under the RBA’s new governor, Philip Lowe.The broadly unchanged statement the RBA released at the end of its meeting suggested that the central bank is in no hurry to...
Read More »FX Weekly Review, September 26-30: Dollar vulnerable at the Start of Q4, CHF collapses at Quarter End
Summary The US dollar fell against most of the major currencies in Q3. The Norwegian krone was the best performer, gaining 4.4% against the greenback. It was helped by higher oil prices and a shift away from an easing bias by the central bank. The relatively high interest rates offered by Australia and New Zealand underpinned their currencies, which gained 2.7% and 2.0% respectively. The dollar rose against three...
Read More »FX Weekly Review, September 12 – September 16: Bad week of CHF Index against Dollar Index
This week we focus on the charts, we omit the technical explanations, given that Marc Chandler is currently on a two-weeks trip. The dollar was surprisingly strong this week. This despite a more hawkish ECB, bad U.S. economic data in the ISM surveys. Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index had a bad week with a bad Friday. The dollar index rose at the end. Swiss Franc Index Trade-weighted index Swiss...
Read More »FX Weekly Review, September 12 – 16: U.S. Dollar Resilience Despite Hawkish ECB and bad ISM
[unable to retrieve full-text content]The dollar was surprisingly strong this week. This despite a more hawkish ECB, bad U.S. economic data in the ISM surveys.
Read More »FX Daily, September 12: Markets Off to a Wobbly Start
Swiss Franc The EUR/CHF retreated today together with falling stock prices. Later during the European day, U.S. stocks recovered. When investors sell their stocks and move into cash, then the Swiss Franc very often appreciates. This is the safe haven effect: cash in Swiss Franc is perceived as more secure. Click to enlarge. FX Rates Stocks and bonds have begun the new week much like last week ended. Sharp losses...
Read More »Environment is supportive of US dollar
Macroview While near-term Fed rate hike has been priced in, other factors favour the greenback in the medium term. Alternatives like the Swiss franc and Australian dollar look less attractive. With a December rate hike already largely priced in, further dollar support from Fed tightening could be fairly limited in the next few months, especially as the Fed is likely to lower its rate forecasts for the coming years to take into account increasing concerns about the decline in ‘neutral’ real...
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