Interview with Christian Zulliger I have long been fascinated by the far-reaching consequences and the great potential of the wave of new technologies and ideas that emerged with the crypto revolution. While most of us first came into contact with these concepts in 2017, this tectonic shift that is only just beginning has been in the making for nearly a decade. Now, we begin to see the basic ideas and tools take shape and give rise to endless exciting possibilities...
Read More »The owl has landed: Lagarde’s new vision for the ECB
Christine Lagarde. Photo Credit: European Parliament On December 12, Christine Lagarde introduced her goals and vision in her first rate-setting meeting as the new President of the ECB. On the actual policy front, there were no surprises. She remained committed to the path set by her predecessor, Mario Draghi, and kept the current monetary stimulus unchanged. The central bank kept its deposit rate at the present record-low -0.5%, and pledged to continue its €20...
Read More »Wealth Consumption vs. Growth – Precious Metals Supply and Demand
GDP – A Poor Measure of “Growth” Last week the prices of the metals rose $35 and $0.82. But, then, the price of a basket of the 500 biggest stocks rose 62. The price of a barrel of oil rose $1.63. Even the euro went up a smidgen. One thing that did not go up was bitcoin. Another was the much-hated asset in the longest bull market. We refer to the US Treasury. The spread between Treasury bonds and junk bonds narrowed this week. It is now close to its post-crisis low....
Read More »Real High Crimes and Misdemeanors
World Class Entertainer in the Cross-Hairs Christmas is no time to be given the old heave-ho. This is a time of celebration, redemption, and excess libation. A time to shop ‘til you drop; the economy depends on it. Don’t get us wrong. There really is no best time to receive the dreaded pink slip. But Christmas is the absolute worst. Has this ever happened to you? Well, believe it or not, this is precisely what House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her Democrat...
Read More »Do Negative Rates Work? Yes, But Not by Much
Sweden’s central bank on Thursday raised its policy rate back to zero, bringing an end to its experiment with negative interest rates. Photo: Mikael Sjoberg/Bloomberg News - Click to enlarge Federal Reserve policy makers opposed to taking interest rates negative in the next recession might take comfort from the end of Sweden’s dalliance with below-zero rates. But investors shouldn’t expect the neighboring eurozone to follow suit: Just hours after the Riksbank...
Read More »Corporate Debt Time Bomb
While I have reportedly highlighted the many risks of the current monetary policy direction and the multiple distortions that it has created in the markets, in the economy, and even in society, one of the most pressing dangers of the unnaturally low rates and cheap money is the staggering accumulation of debt. Nowhere is this more obvious than in the ballooning corporate debt, especially in the US. It has been growing so rapidly and for so long, that many investors...
Read More »The Strongest Seasonal Advance in Precious Metals Begins Now
Plans and Consequences You are probably already getting into the holiday spirit, perhaps you are even under a little stress. But the turn of the year will soon be here – an occasion to review the past year and make plans for the new one. Many people are doing just that – and their behavior is creating the strongest seasonal rally in the precious metals markets. Anonymous industrial stackers showing off their freshly purchased silver hoard. PT Silver is seasonally...
Read More »Banana Republic Money Debasement In America
Addicted to Spending There are many falsehoods being perpetuated these days when it comes to money, financial markets, and the economy. But when you cut the chaff, three related facts remain: Uncle Sam needs your money. He needs a lot of your money. And he needs it bad! The inescapable logic of tax & spend: empty vault… empty pockets… gimme more! PT According to the Congressional Budget Office, the federal budget deficit for the first two months of fiscal year...
Read More »The destruction of civilization – implications of extreme monetary interventions
When I was asked to write an article about the impact of negative interest rates and negative yielding bonds, I thought this is a chance to look at the topic from a broader perspective. There have been lots of articles speculating about the possible implications and focusing on their impact in the short run, but it’s not very often that an analysis looks a bit further into the future, trying to connect money and its effect on society itself. Qui bono? Let...
Read More »The ECB’s “mea culpa”
Economists, conservative investors and market observers have been issuing stern warnings for years regarding the severe impact of the current monetary policy direction. The problems In a recent statement, ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos warned of potential side effects and risks to the economy resulting directly from the central bank’s policies. He outlined how a decade of extremely aggressive monetary interventions have resulted in an erosion of financial...
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