After last week’s flurry of events, market activity is set to slow over the next three weeks. But what a flurry of events it was. A new NAFTA apparently has been agreed, and it is set to be approved by the US House of Representatives next week and the Senate early next year. The US and China struck an agreement that will get rid of the immediate tariff threat and unwind half of the punitive tariffs in exchange for a commitment to buy twice the amount of agriculture...
Read More »FX Daily, December 13: Stunning Tory Victory and US-China Trade Boosts Risk Assets
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.21% to 1.0964 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The combination of a US-China trade deal and exit polls showing the Tories securing a majority in the House of Commons boosted risk assets, sent sterling flying, and the euro sharply higher. Separately, the Fed stepped up its efforts to make as smooth as possible funding over the...
Read More »FX Daily, December 12: Enguard Lagarde
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.08% to 1.0946 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.comeur - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: With the FOMC meeting delivered no surprises, attention turns to the ECB meeting as the UK go to the polls. Lagarde will hold her first press conference as ECB president today, and it will naturally command attention. Equities are advancing today, and tech appears to be leading...
Read More »FX Daily, December 11: Sterling Holds Firm Despite Tighter Poll
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.12% to 1.093 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 11(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The capital markets continue to tread water as investors await this week’s key events. The first, the FOMC meeting concludes later today. Tomorrow features the UK election, where the race appears to have tightened, and Lagarde’s first ECB meeting at the helm. Global equities continue...
Read More »FX Daily, December 10: Capital Markets: Still Seems to be the Calm before the Storm
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.06% to 1.0921 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Equities are trading lower, and bonds are mixed as the FOMC, UK election, and the US decision on the December 15 tariffs draw near. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index three-day rally ended today as only China and South Korea’s markets rose. Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 gapped slightly...
Read More »FX Daily, December 09: China’s Steps-Up Import Substitution Strategy while USMCA Comes Down to the Wire
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.05% to 1.0949 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 9(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The important week is off to a slow start. While the MSCI Asia Pacific benchmark extended its gains for a third session, European and US shares are struggling. The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is consolidating its pre-weekend 1%+ rally, while US shares are trading heavier after rallying for...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: An Eventful Week Ahead
The US employment report on the first Friday of December usually marks the unofficial end of the year. The desks are often lighter and dealers are loath to jeopardize the year’s bonuses in thin and often erratic markets. This year is an exception. Next week features the first ECB meeting with Lagarde at the helm and the final FOMC meeting of the year. The UK and China have their monthly data dumps—a concentration of high-frequency data. The US reports both CPI...
Read More »FX Daily, December 6: And Now for the Employment Report
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.26% to 1.0977 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 6(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Asia Pacific equities closed higher today, with India being a notable exception. Hong Kong and South Korea led with 1% rallies. For the week, the MSCI index for the region advanced to snap a three-week decline. European and US bourses have not fared as well. The Dow Jones Stoxx 600...
Read More »FX Daily, December 5: Sterling Sent Higher as Market Discounts Next Week’s Election
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.26% to 1.0977 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, December 5(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Global equity markets have resumed their climb after a wobble at the end of last week and earlier this week. A strong recovery in the S&P 500 on Tuesday signaled yesterday’s strong advance that left a bullish one-day island low in its wake. MSCI Asia Pacific Index snapped a...
Read More »FX Daily, December 4: Hope Springs Eternal
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.19% to 1.0957 . FX Rates Overview: The prospect of not just the failure of the US and China to resolve its trade dispute but a new escalation has sapped the confidence that had lifted equity benchmarks and the greenback. Led by more than a 1% decline in Tokyo (Nikkei), Hong Kong, and Australia, all the major markets in the Asia Pacific region fell. European shares, perhaps encouraged by an upward revision to the flash composite...
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