Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.18% to 1.0806 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, November 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Performance Overview: Pfizer’s vaccine announcement eclipsed the US election as the key market driver. It spurred the unwinding of Covid trades in terms of sectors and yields. Emerging market currencies and the majors that benefit from world growth outperformed the perceived safe-havens, like the...
Read More »FX Daily, November 9: Markets are not Waiting for Official Closure in the US
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.84% to 1.0782 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, November 9(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge Overview: The new week has begun with robust risk appetites, driving stocks and stocks higher and sending the dollar broadly lower. Nearly all the equity markets in the Asia Pacific region gained more than 1%, except Malaysia and Indonesia. The Nikkei, which posted its highest close before the weekend in...
Read More »Dollar Soft as Risk On Sentiment Dominates Ahead of FOMC Decision
Dollar weakness has resumed as risk on sentiment dominates; the US election outcome is starting to take shape Senate Majority Leader McConnell said passing a stimulus bill is a top priority during the lame duck session; the two day FOMC meeting concludes today with a likely dovish hold; weekly jobless claims will be reported BOE increased its asset purchases by GBP150 bln vs. GBP100 bln expected; UK government is due to announce more details of the growing fiscal...
Read More »FX Daily, November 6: A Pause that Refreshens?
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.03% to 1.0685 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, November 6(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Investors have piled into risk assets this week, seemingly undeterred by the US elections’ lack of a clear outcome. The coronavirus is still surging, and a new complication has emerged. A mutation of the virus, originating in minks (Denmark), could pose a challenge in developing a...
Read More »FX Daily, November 5: The Dollar Slides and the Yuan Jumps
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.22% to 1.0719 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, November 5(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The markets did not wait for the final vote count and took stocks and bonds higher while pushing the greenback lower. While it appears Biden will be the next US President, investors seemed to like the fact that his agenda will be checked by a Senate that may remain in Republican...
Read More »FX Daily, November 4: Indecision Keeps Investors on Edge, but the Dollar Rides High
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.05% to 1.0682 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, November 4(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Initially, the markets built on Tuesday’s price action, but as soon as a few counties in Florida indicated that it was not going to be the “blue wave,” risk came off, and it was most evident in the bond and currency markets. Equities rallied in the Asia Pacific area, and all but Hong...
Read More »FX Daily, November 3: Risk Appetites Return as the US Goes to the Polls
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.09% to 1.0706 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, November 3(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: More than 95 mln Americans voted before today, and many observers warn of a cliffhanger that could be decided in the courts. The polls sand surveys show strong odds in favor of a Democratic sweep. Looking at the capital markets, nothing looks amiss. The biggest rally in the S&P...
Read More »FX Daily, October 30: Investors Scared Before Halloween
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.07% to 1.0691 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Investors punished US tech giants for not delivering perfection as prices apparently had discounted, and the subsequent sell-off coupled with month-end dynamics has rocked global equities. Asia Pacific bourses were a sea of red, led by a 2.5% decline in the tech-heavy South Korean...
Read More »FX Daily. October 29: Markets Continue to Struggle
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.11% to 1.0681 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 29(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The spreading virus that is shutting down large parts of Europe, while the US is reluctant to return to lockdowns and refuses to have a nationwide requirement for masks in public hit risk assets yesterday. The S&P posted its largest decline in four-months yesterday (~3.5%), and...
Read More »Introducing the Bannockburn World Currency Index
The Dollar Index is a popular way to think about and trade “the dollar.” However, it has become less relevant as a reflection of the dollar’s performance or representative of trade, capital flows, market capitalization. Economists often use a trade-weighted basket, and the Federal Reserve’s real broad trade-weighted index is an input in official and private-sector forecasts. As an alternative, we present Bannockburn’s World Currency Index (BWCI). It is...
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