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Tag Archives: 4) FX Trends

FX Daily, May 12: The Dollar Stabilizes but Stocks, Not So Much

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.07% to 1.0966 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 12(see more posts on Business, EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The markets remain on edge. Asia Pacific and US equities have yet to find stable footing, and inflation fears are elevated. The foreign exchange market has turned quiet as the dollar consolidates its recent losses. China and Hong Kong escaped the sell-off equities that saw...

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FX Daily, May 11: Stocks Slide but Little Demand for Safe Havens

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.37% to 1.0969 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 11(see more posts on Business, EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The sell-off in US shares yesterday has triggered sharp global losses today, and there is no flight into fixed income as benchmark yields are higher across the board.  Nor is the dollar serving as much as a safe haven. It is mostly softer against the major currencies. Japan and...

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FX Daily, May 10: The Dollar Remains on the Defensive

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.43% to 1.0976 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, May 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Last week’s cyberattack on the largest US gasoline pipeline continues to lift oil and gasoline prices. The June gasoline futures gapped higher to extend last week’s 2.4% gain but has subsequently moved lower to enter the gap. June WTI is firm and holding above $65. The supply disruption...

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The Dollar and the Fed

One of the stark developments since the initial shock of the pandemic has been the aggressiveness of the US monetary and fiscal response. This was also true in dealing with the Great Financial Crisis. The divergence then and now had shaped the investment climate. On a per-capita basis, the pandemic struck the US harder than in most other high-income countries, and some see the wide disparity of income and wealth as a contributing factor. In any event, the vaccine...

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The Dollar can Build on the Pre-Weekend Gains

The US dollar traded heavily most of last week but rebounded ahead of the weekend, with some month-end flows impacting.  The Japanese yen was a notable exception.  The rise in US yields helped lift the greenback nearly a percent against the yen.  The Fed's standpat stance in light of the surging economy and signals the Norwegian central bank and the Bank of Canada seemed dovish.  The contrast carried the Norwegian krone and Canadian dollar to new three-year highs...

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FX Daily, April 29: US GDP: The V

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.05% to 1.1031 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 29 Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview:  The market’s initial reaction to the Federal Reserve statement and the press conference was that it was dovish: the 10-year yield slipped, and the dollar was sold to new lows.  In fact, the two countries that appear to be ahead of the curve among high-income countries, Canada and Norway, saw their currencies rally to new...

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FX Daily, April 28: Biden and Powell are Center Stage

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.02% to 1.104 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 28(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: It appears that the backing up of US yields is giving the dollar a better tone and challenging the Eurosystem, which has stepped up its bond purchases. The US 10-year yield is around 1.65%, roughly a two-week high and back above the 20-day moving average. European yields are mostly 2-4...

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FX Daily, April 27: Markets Mark Time Ahead of Fed

Swiss Franc The Euro is stable at 0.00% to 1.1041 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Short-covering ahead of the FOMC’s outcome tomorrow appears to be lending the US dollar support today. It has extended yesterday’s gains against the euro, sterling, and yen. Among emerging market currencies, the Turkish lira, along with the South Korean won and Taiwanese dollar, lead...

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FX Daily, April 26: Big Week Begins Quietly, with the Greenback Still Under Pressure

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.03% to 1.1048 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 26(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: What promises to be a notable week has begun off quietly: the US, EMU, and South Korea report Q1 GDP. The eurozone also provides its first estimate of April inflation. Corporate earnings feature tech and financial firms.  Equities are mostly firmer in the Asia Pacific region and...

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FX Daily, April 23: Greenback Slips into the Weekend

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.28% to 1.1044 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 23(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Many narratives link the prospect of higher capital gains tax on about a third of 1% of Americans as the catalyst for losses in US equities yesterday (and Bitcoin) and weakness in some global shares today. Of the large markets in the Asia Pacific region, only Japan, which is reimposing...

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