by By Dara O’Sullivan, Derrick Leonard, and Ilan Solot Covid-19 related measures for restricted markets remain largely unchanged this week. Philippines, Bangladesh and Kuwait have extended their lockdown periods, while Kenya and Nigeria continue to face limited liquidity. Please see trading comments below Sri Lanka: The Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) resumed operations on May 11, 2020 following an extended period of closure. Foreign exchange trading is still permitted between the hours of 8:30am and 1.15pm. . Bangladesh: On May 14 the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) and Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) announced they will remain closed until May 30. Local banks will continue to operate on the reduced hours of 10:00am to 2:30 pm. While there is no trading and settlement
Topics:
Win Thin considers the following as important: 5) Global Macro, 5.) Brown Brothers Harriman, emerging markets, Featured, newsletter
This could be interesting, too:
Frank Shostak writes Assumptions in Economics and in the Real World
Conor Sanderson writes The Betrayal of Free Speech: Elon Musk Buckles to Government Censorship, Again
Nachrichten Ticker - www.finanzen.ch writes Bitcoin erstmals über 80.000 US-Dollar
Nachrichten Ticker - www.finanzen.ch writes Kraken kündigt eigene Blockchain ‘Ink’ an – Neue Ära für den Krypto-Markt?
| By Dara O’Sullivan, Derrick Leonard, and Ilan Solot
Covid-19 related measures for restricted markets remain largely unchanged this week. Philippines, Bangladesh and Kuwait have extended their lockdown periods, while Kenya and Nigeria continue to face limited liquidity. Please see trading comments below Sri Lanka: The Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) resumed operations on May 11, 2020 following an extended period of closure. Foreign exchange trading is still permitted between the hours of 8:30am and 1.15pm. |
 . |
| Bangladesh: On May 14 the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) and Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) announced they will remain closed until May 30. Local banks will continue to operate on the reduced hours of 10:00am to 2:30 pm. While there is no trading and settlement allowed, banks will operate on the reduced hours to facilitate cash clearing and FX activity. |
 . |
| Serbia: The State of Emergency has been lifted, effective May 11. Local depositories and the Belgrade Stock Exchange (BELEX) have resumed operations. |
 . |
| Philippines: On May 14, the Philippine government extended the nationwide lockdown until May 31. The market continues to operate under reduced hours from 9:00 to 14:00. The cut off for FX activity is set at 2:00 pm. |
 . |
| India: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced on April 30 an extension of the current lockdown scenario until further notice. All markets will be open from 10:00am to 2:00pm. For any clients actively trading this market, please continue to observe the current reduced temporary trading hours. |
 . |
| Vietnam: The government relaxed social distancing measures on April 23, but it kept some restrictions in place for high risk areas including Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh. The FX market had been experiencing limited foreign currency liquidity. However, local banks advised there has been a noticeable improvement in liquidity and they are no longer seeing delays in repatriations. |
 . |
| Nigeria: Liquidity issues continue in the Nigerian market. The CBN remains the single largest provider of USD to Foreign Portfolio Investors and as a result, investors are only seeing rare allocations of liquidity. As a result, only a few repatriation requests are being executed. We continue to monitor the liquidity situation and will provide updates as they are received. |
 . |
| Kenya: The market has been experiencing limited USD liquidity and delays in repatriations. The FX market reduced its trading hours on March 30 and now operates from 9:00 am until 2:00 pm until further notice. |
 . |
| Mauritius: Local banks continue to experience liquidity issues. The Stock Exchange of Mauritius (SEM) reopened on April 6 following a period of closure and the banks continue to support trading, settlement, cash clearing and FX activities. |
 . |
| Indonesia: Bank Indonesia reduced FX and bond market trading hours from until further notice. Where previously the market was open for trading from 8:00am until 4:00pm the revised hours are now 9:00am until 3:00pm. |
 . |
| Pakistan: Effective April 16, the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSE) announced the amended trading hours currently in operation are to remain in place. From Monday to Thursday trading hours have been reduced to 10:00am to 4:00pm. On Fridays, they continue to operate a single trading session only on Fridays from 10:00am to 1:00pm. During this time banks will facilitate support for trading, settlement and cash clearing for FX and government debt. |
 . |
| Ghana: The FX market continues to experience limited foreign currency liquidity. Local banks warned about possible delays in repatriations. |
 . |
| Morocco: The Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) and the Bank al Maghrib (BAM) shortened their FX and securities deadlines to 2:00 pm until further notice. |
 . |
| Chile: The Chilean interbank FX market reduced its operating hours. The FX market will close at 1:00 pm until further notice. |
 . |
| Egypt: On April 8, 2020, the government extended the nationwide curfew until further notice. While cash and securities deadlines have been reduced so far there has been no impact to our FX executions. |
 . |
| GULF COUNTRIES
Saudi Arabia: A nationwide curfew remains in place in Saudi Arabia daily from 3:00 pm until 6:00 am. Trading hours had been reduced, and with the holy month of Ramadan the market is now closing at 1:00 pm. Kuwait: On May 11 the Council of Ministers announced a 24-hour nationwide curfew until May 30. The market had previously declared a holiday until May 28 resulting in local FX markets closing at 12.30pm instead of 1.30pm. With this new curfew, there is no further impact to the FX market operations. Oman: Effective March 29, the Muskat Securities Market (MSM) reduced trading hours in response to Covid-19. The market will now close at 1:00pm until further notice. |
 . |
You Might Also Like
Hong Kong Turbulence Likely to Rise as US-China Relations Worsen
Recent moves by China call into direct question the “one country, two systems” approach. Hong Kong assets have held up surprisingly well but we see turbulence ahead as US-China relations are set to deteriorate further.
Asia Lockdowns vs. Re-Openings
We apply the five-factor model used to analyse lockdowns and openings in developed markets and in Latin America to Asian Markets. It evaluates the restrictions imposed by different countries in the region, how they compare in terms of severity of lockdown, and where they are heading in the spectrum of reopening. The scale we use measures grade restrictions from 1 (open) to 4 (closed) across the following five factors: (a) schools/universities, (b) non-essential businesses, (c) borders, (d) social distancing and (e) severity of penalties/prosecution.
EM Preview for the Week Ahead
Market sentiment on EM remains positive after the Phase One trade deal was signed. Data out of China is also supportive for EM. Key forward-looking data this week are Taiwan export orders and Korea trade data for the first 20 days of January. The global liquidity story also remains beneficial for risk, with the ECB, Norges Bank, BOC, and BOJ all set to maintain steady rates this week.
EM Preview for the Week Ahead
EM may get a little support from a potential OPEC+ deal to limit oil. Even if a deal is struck, the impact is likely to be fleeting as the global growth outlook remains terrible. We remain negative on EM for the time being.
Restricted Market Trading Comments
Covid-19 related measures for restricted markets remain largely unchanged this week. Philippines, Bangladesh and Kuwait have extended their lockdown periods, while Kenya and Nigeria continue to face limited liquidity. Please see trading comments below
Dollar Treads Water Ahead of FOMC Minutes
The virus news stream is mixed; the dollar has stabilized a bit. FOMC minutes will be released; Canada reports April CPI and March wholesale trade sales; the news from Brazil keeps getting worse. Another group of EU nations will release their own plan in a rebuttal of France and Germany; UK reported April CPI data.
Dollar Firm as US-China Tensions Flare
The virus news stream is mixed; the dollar has stabilized; US-China tensions continue to ratchet up. We will get some more US economic data for May; weekly jobless claims are expected at 2.4 mln. Eurozone and UK reported firm preliminary May PMI readings; BOE officials continue to take a very dovish tone.
Dollar Firm as China’s Hong Kong Gambit Triggers Risk-Off Trading
Legislation was introduced that allows Beijing to directly impose a national security law on Hong Kong; US-China tensions are still rising; the dollar is bid as risk-off sentiment takes hold. There are no US data reports or Fed speakers today; Canada reports March retail sales; Mexico reports mid-May CPI.
Tags: Emerging Markets,Featured,newsletter