SNB & CHF

For anyone thinking the global economy is turning around, it’s not the kind of thing you want to hear. Germany has been Ground Zero for this globally synchronized downturn. That’s where it began, meaning first showed up, all the way back at the start of 2018. Ever since, the German economy has been pulling Europe down into the economic abyss along with it, being ahead of the curve in signaling what was to come for the whole rest of the global economy. The ECB, many...

In the last decade, the combination of virulent asset price inflation and low reported consumer price inflation crippled sound money as a political force in the US and globally. In the new decade, a different balance between monetary inflation’s “terrible twins” — asset inflation and goods inflation — will create an opportunity for that force to regain strength. Crucial, however, will be how sound money advocacy evolves in the world of ideas and its success in...

Der cash Insider ist unter @cashInsider auch auf Twitter aktiv. Lesen Sie börsentäglich von weiteren brandaktuellen Beobachtungen am Schweizer Aktienmarkt. +++ Am Morgen des 15. Januars 2015 waren die Devisenmärkten in Aufruhr. Dass die Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB) das Ende des Euro-Mindestkurses von 1,20 Franken verkünden würde, hatten selbst erfahrenste Marktakteure nicht erwartet. Folglich wurde der Euro vorübergehend zu 80 Rappen gehandelt und auch der...

Why is everyone so angry? How can socialism possibly be on such a rise, particularly among younger people around the world? Why are Americans suddenly dying off? According to one study, two-thirds of millennials are convinced they are doing worse when compared to their parents’ generation. Sixty-two percent say they are living paycheck to paycheck, with no savings and no way to get any (though they also tend to “overspend” when compared to other age groups). Worst of...

◆ Indians diversify into gold coins, bars and jewellery because it never fails them in an emergency ◆ Indians are simply very prudent and practical and believe in channeling some of their wealth and saving into physical gold ◆ “A woman’s gold is both her personal treasure and plays a functional role as the family’s financial buffer” – Richard Davies ◆ Gold is an ‘obsession’ for very few people in the world today, including Indians, and most owners simply view it as a...

[From Socialism: An Economic and Sociological Analysis, by Ludwig von Mises, pp. 113–22.] All human action, so far as it is rational, appears as the exchange of one condition for another. Men apply economic goods and personal time and labour in the direction which, under the given circumstances, promises the highest degree of satisfaction, and they forego the satisfaction of lesser needs so as to satisfy the more urgent needs. This is the essence of economic...

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.06% to 1.0745 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 17(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Helped by new record highs in the US, global stocks are moving higher today. Nearly all the markets in the Asia Pacific region advanced and the seventh consecutive weekly rally is the longest in a couple of years. Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is at new record highs and appears set to...

The Producer Price Index (PPI) or officially named “Producer and Import Price Index” describes the changes in prices for producers and importers. For us it is interesting because it is used in the formula for the Real Effective Exchange Rate. When producers and importers profit on lower price changes when compared to other countries, then the Swiss Franc reduces its overvaluation. The Swiss PPI values of -6% in 2015 (see below), compared to -3% in Europe or -1% in...

USD/CHF holds onto recovery gains from a 16-month low. 200-hour SMA will please buyers during a sustained breakout. Bears may aim for September 2018 low following the downside break of the recent bottom. USD/CHF confronts a one-week-old falling trend line resistance while trading around 0.9650 during early Friday. The pair recently ticked up to 0.9654 but failed to extend the rise. Hence, buyers will look for entry above 0.9650/55 area while targeting a 200-hour...

SNB building in Bern According to provisional calculations, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) expects to make a profit of around CHF 49 billion in 2019. Most of this comes from the rising value of the SNB’s foreign currency positions (+CHF 40 billion) and a valuation gain on gold holdings (+CHF 6.9 billion). After adjusting reserves, the SNB will have CHF 88 billion available for distribution. Since the announcement SNB shares have risen 2% to CHF 5,600. The central bank...