SNB & CHF

07.03.2016 09:15  - FSO, Tourism (0353-1602-30) Statistics on tourist accommodation in January 2016 Marked decline in overnight stays in January Neuchâtel, 07.03.2016 (FSO) – The Swiss hotel industry registered 2.6 million overnight stays in January 2016, which corresponds to a decrease of 6.8% (-189,000 overnight stays) compared with January 2015. Foreign demand generated 1.3 million overnight stays, i.e. a decline of 8.4% (-120,000 overnight stays). Domestic visitors registered also 1.3...

So the price of silver rocketed up 80 cents, while the price of gold jumped $37. Silver is now more expensive than it was two weeks ago; the price decline of last week was more than overcompensated. This pushed the gold-silver ratio down about two whole points, with virtually the whole move on Friday. Last week, we said this: Monetary Metals has been predicting a ratio well over 80 for a long time. And for two months, we have been calling for it to go much higher still. Could there be a...

Risk sentiment ended last week on a strong note, and that should carry over into this week.  The global liquidity backdrop remains positive for EM, with the ECB widely expected to add more stimulus on Thursday.  In a similar vein, the Fed is widely expected to remain on hold until June.   China is doing its part to prevent negative market impact from developments there, including reports of intervening to support the equity markets last week.  Lastly, commodities remain bid and WTI oil made...

Sometimes the news stream drives prices, and sometimes the price action drives the narratives.  We argued that the sharp decline in equities at the start of the year was fanned the doom and gloom in the media and market commentary.  Many had been taking about a new financial crisis and parallels were drawn between the price action now and the 2007-2008 period. Perhaps it was the green shoot of spring flowers in the Northern Hemisphere.  Perhaps it was the realization that the sell-off was...

It is common knowledge by now that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan oversaw, enabled and approved of, a major transition in the US economy. His infamous “Greenspan-put” in which his actions at the central bank would be driven, if not dictated, by the whims of financial markets, clearly led to higher asset prices. Investors obviously picked up on the strong bias in the Greenspan-Fed’s conduct of monetary policy as they slashed rates at the tiniest hiccup in financial markets, and...

The US dollar fell against all the major and most of the emerging market currencies last week.   Risk appetites have been rekindled, and the yen has gone from the best performer in recent weeks to the worst over the past week.   Major equity markets advanced for the third week.  The MSCI Emerging Market equity index has rallied more than 15% since the January 21 low, and nearly 12% since the February 11 low.  The index finished the week at its best level since January 4.  Oil prices are...

Speculators in the currency futures made mostly small adjustments to their gross foreign currency exposure.  There were only three position adjustments of more than 5k contacts.   Since the markets turned on 11 February, the Canadian dollar has been the strongest of the major currencies, appreciating a little more than 4.5% against the US dollar.    Gross shorts have been nearly halved since then.  They were cut by 6.9k contracts or about 10% to reach 61.5k contracts during the recent...

According to the latest news release, the Swiss National Bank expects an annual loss of 23 billion CHF, after reporting a loss of 50 billion at the end of June. Primarily thanks to the stronger dollar, the SNB was able to achieve unrealized gains of 27 billion CHF in the second half. This reduced her annual loss to 23 billion. With its rate hike, Fed is helping the SNB: the dollar has appreciated by 6% since July. Balance Sheet The SNB balance sheet looks as follows. In this post we...

A cemetery with 1,300-year-old graves has been discovered in the village of Fehraltorf. Archaeologists have also found jewellery, weapons and everyday objects from the early Middle Ages. (SRF/swissinfo.ch) --- swissinfo.ch is the international branch of the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC). Its role is to report on Switzerland and to provide a Swiss perspective on international events. For more articles, interviews and videos visit swissinfo.ch or subscribe to our YouTube channel:...

(from my colleague Dr. Win Thin) 1) China’s central bank announced a 0.5% cut in the required reserve ratio2) Moody's cut the outlook on China's Aa3 rating to negative from stable3) Argentina and the main holdouts agreed to a debt restructuring deal4) Brazilian press reported that a senator implicated both Rousseff and Lula in the corruption probe as part of a plea bargain5) Chile is cutting back government spending this year in response to low copper prices In the EM equity space,...