Amid light news, the US dollar’s recent gains have pared slightly. Attention turns to the US, were several Fed officials speak, October housing starts/permits will be released, and then later in the session, traders will peruse the minutes from last month's FOMC meeting. The euro held Tuesday's low near $1.0630, and short-covering lifted the single currency to almost $1.07 before the bears showed their hand. Similarly, after the JPY123.50 level was tested, the dollar pushed back,...
Read More »Security, Refugees and European Fiscal Policy
The EU is warning that Austria, Italy, and Lithuania are at risk of not achieving their 2016 budget goals. It also warned Spain that is too may miss its target. Nevertheless, the EU said there were no serious violations. At the same time, the EU will exempt proven refugee spending from the budget scorecard. In light of the attack on Paris, the EU's fiscal discipline faces a new challenge. French President Hollande is arguing that the security pact trumps the stability pact. France...
Read More »Observations of Speculative Positioning in the Futures Market
1. In the Commitment of Traders reporting week ending November 10 covers the few days before the US employment data and a few days after. Speculative participants made five significant (10k contracts or more) adjustments to gross positions in the currency futures. The prior reporting period saw only three significant adjustments, and in growing gross short euro, yen, and Swiss franc positions. This week, four currencies, euro (+14 .7k contracts), yen (+16.7k contracts), Canadian...
Read More »Tax haven makes residency easier for the rich
The canton of Zug is planning to make it a lot easier for wealthy foreigners to settle in the area. It will mean one rule for the rich and one for the poor. (SRF/swissinfo.ch) --- swissinfo.ch is the international branch of the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC). Its role is to report on Switzerland and to provide a Swiss perspective on international events. For more articles, interviews and videos visit swissinfo.ch or subscribe to our YouTube channel: Website:...
Read More »Will a GDP Futures Market Be Liquid?
At the Cato Monetary Conference this week, Scott Sumner said he had a “modest” proposal, that there should be a highly liquid futures market in Nominal Gross Domestic Product (NGDP). This caught my attention, as the futures market is a topic near and dear to my heart (I write about it every week). Sumner is known for his view that the Fed should target NGDP as the basis for monetary policy. So a futures market that predicts it would be convenient. Let’s look at his idea more closely. What,...
Read More »A 14 Handle on Silver for Now. 15 Nov, 2015
In gold terms, the dollar went up a small 0.15 milligrams gold. The price of the dollar in silver went up considerably more as a percentage, 0.08 grams to 2.18g. Most people would say that gold went down and silver went down (though we continue to ask why should the prices of the monetary metals be measured in terms of the unstable dollar). As always, we’re interested in one thing: did the fundamentals change, or did speculators sell off a bit more? We call such price changes unimportant....
Read More »Charles Hugh Smith: Fixing The Way We Work
Full Description and Comments at: http://www.peakprosperity.com/podcast/95323/charles-hugh-smith-fixing-way-we-work Charles Hugh Smith returns to the podcast this week to discuss the theme of his new book A Radically Beneficial World: Automation, Technology and Creating Jobs for All. Automation and artificial intelligence are changing the landscape of work. Tens of millions of jobs are on track to be eliminated over the next decade or so by these advancing technological innovations in the...
Read More »How the Fed gave away its independence – Interest Rate Sensitivity at ZLB
In fiscal year 2014, which ended September 30 2014, the Federal government of the United States reported a cumulative deficit of US$484 billion, while the total debt outstanding increased by more than a trillion dollars. For fiscal year 2015, the difference was negligible because the US Treasury conducted so called emergency measures to adhere to the Congressional imposed debt ceiling. As soon as Congressional leaders agreed among themselves, the debt ceiling was raised and US debt...
Read More »Chestnut crisis over in Ticino
Ticino's chestnut forests are doing well after the introduction of an insect that kills the gall wasps, which were attacking the trees. (SRF/swissinfo.ch) --- swissinfo.ch is the international branch of the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC). Its role is to report on Switzerland and to provide a Swiss perspective on international events. For more articles, interviews and videos visit swissinfo.ch or subscribe to our YouTube channel: Website: http://www.swissinfo.ch Channel:...
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