SNB & CHF

We discuss capital consumption all the time, because it is the megatrend of our era. However, capital consumption is an abstract idea. So let’s consider some concrete examples, to help make it clearer. Flipping Homes, Consuming Capital First, let’s look at the case of Timothy Housetrader. Tim has a small two-bedroom house. Next door, his neighbor Ian Idjit, owns a four-bedroom house which is twice the size. For some reason, Ian offers to trade houses with Tim. Both...

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.24% to 1.0862 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: As the quarter ends, the capital markets are mixed. Equities in Asia Pacific were heavier, except in Hong Kong and Australia, while shares were mixed, leaving the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 little changed through the European morning. US shares are trading firmer. Benchmark 10-year bond...

USD/CHF clings to 23.6% Fibonacci retracement amid bearish MACD. The rising trend-line since mid-August, 200-bar SMA limits downside. The seven-day long falling trend-line restricts immediate advances. Despite being mostly around 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of August-September upside, USD/CHF stays above key support-confluence as it trades near 0.9910 while heading into the European open on Monday. While the bearish signal from 12-bar moving average convergence and...

United States The world’s largest economy appears to have grown by about 2% in Q3 at an annualized pace, the same as in Q2, and in line with what many Fed officials understand to be trend growth. The strength of the US labor market underpins consumption, the powerful engine of the US economy. The latest readings of both the labor market and consumption will highlight the economic data in the week ahead. The strength of the recent housing data (starts and sales)...

We continue to think that the US economy is in better shape than most appreciate, and that underpins our strong dollar call Tensions are likely to remain high after reports emerged last week that the US will look into limiting capital flows into China US September jobs data Friday will be the data highlight of the week; there is a heavy slate of Fed speakers this week UK, eurozone, and Japan are expected to report weak data this week RBA meets Tuesday and is expected...

Central bankers and politicians in many countries have expressed concerns about Libra’s potential impact. Facebook’s Libra cryptocurrency poses no threat to central banks or to financial law and order, the head of the Geneva-based Libra Association tells swissinfo.ch. Many regulators, politicians and central banks have reacted with alarm to the proposed new digital payments system. Slated to launch next year, Libra plans to create a reserve of currencies – including...

The French complaint said that the US Department of Justice had described BNP Paribas as Sudan’s de facto central bank because it gave the Sudanese government access to international money markets, and allowed it to pay staff, the military and security forces. Victims of rights abuses in Sudan have filed a legal complaint against the French BNP Paribas bank and its Swiss subsidiary, accusing them of complicity in crimes against humanity, genocide and torture...

Uncle Sam hat and money. American hat. Hat independence day - Click to enlarge Political uncertainty is likely to persist in the US; the big unknown is whether this will impact the US economy US core PCE reading will be of particular interest and is expected to rise 1.8% y/y; Quarles (voter) and Harker (non-voter) speak Dovish BOE comments are weighing on sterling; France reported weak CPI and consumer spending data Tokyo September CPI was lower than expected; FTSE...

Fading safe-haven demand undermined the CHF demand and extended some support. Bears await a sustained weakness below short-term ascending channel support. The USD/CHF pair struggled to register any meaningful recovery and remained well within the striking distance of near three-week lows set in the previous session, coinciding with the lower end of a multi-week-old ascending trend-channel. Given that technical indicators on hourly charts maintained their bearish bias...

USD/CHF takes a U-turn towards 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, 0.9950 resistance confluence. Sustained break of 50-DMA can recall 0.9800 on the chart. September month Swiss ZEW Expectations and SNB’s Q3 Bulletin in the spotlight. With its recent recovery from the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), the USD/CHF pair takes the bids to 0.9875 while heading into the European session on Wednesday. 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of April-August declines, at 0.9880, becomes...