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SNB & CHF

The remarkable rise of GDP per capita in Switzerland

© Mr.siwabud Veerapaisarn | Dreamstime.com In 1998, GDP per person in Switzerland was CHF 59,693. Recently published statistics put the figure at CHF 80,986 in 2018, a rise of 36%. When Swiss GDP per capita is expressed in globally comparable US dollar terms its rise is even greater. In US dollar terms Swiss GDP per capita grew from US$ 41,497 to US$ 82,839 between 1998 and 2018, a rise of 100%. In Germany the same figure went from US$ 27,341 to US$ 48,196, a rise of...

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FX Daily, September 12: Focus on the ECB, while the Dollar Slips below CNY7.09

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.13% to 1.0914 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Some gestures in the US-China trade spat have given the market the reason to do what it had been doing, and that is taking on more risk. Equities are higher in Asia Pacific and opened in Europe higher before slipping. The MSCI Asia Pacific and the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 are advancing...

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100-franc note enters circulation today

SNB banknote app with information on all new denominations Issuance of the new 100-franc note presented a week ago begins today, 12 September. The complete version of the Swiss National Bank’s ‘Swiss Banknotes’ app is now also available. It has been updated to include the 100-franc note and features information on all six new denominations. The app, which has been downloaded some 123,000 times, can be obtained free of charge from the Apple (apps.apple.com) and Google...

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Is it platinum’s time to shine?

Even with seasoned precious metals investors, it is often the case that platinum gets overlooked, while gold and silver dominate the conversation over which metal affords the best long-term protection of one’s wealth. Nevertheless, platinum has proved to be an excellent store of value, while it also offers a number of interesting advantages as a long-term investment that could play an important part in a conservative and proactive strategy. Although it might not...

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Swiss Producer and Import Price Index in August 2019: -1.9 percent YoY, -0,2 percent MoM

The Producer Price Index (PPI) or officially named “Producer and Import Price Index” describes the changes in prices for producers and importers. For us it is interesting because it is used in the formula for the Real Effective Exchange Rate. When producers and importers profit on lower price changes when compared to other countries, then the Swiss Franc reduces its overvaluation. The Swiss PPI values of -6% in 2015 (see below), compared to -3% in Europe or -1% in...

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CHF is ‘not strong in real terms’ – no need for SNB intervention

A note from Standard Chartered on the Swiss National Bank and the Swiss franc.  The SNB monetary policy meeting is next week, September 19. In brief, Stan Chart argue the franc is not strong in real terms adjusting EUR/CHF for inflation leaves CHF around 10% weaker than (non-adjusted) current spot no need for SNB to intervene to try to weaken it therefore the SNB is not likely to cut rates at their meeting, nor intervene in forex markets in the near term EUR/CHF...

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Dollar (In) Demand

The last time was bad, no getting around it. From the end of 2014 until the first months of 2016, the Chinese economy was in a perilous state. Dramatic weakness had emerged which had seemed impossible to reconcile with conventions about the country. Committed to growth over everything, and I mean everything, China was the one country the world thought it could count on for being immune to the widespread economic sickness. That’s why in early 2016 authorities...

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FX Daily, September 11: Dollar is Firm as ECB is Awaited

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.31% to 1.092 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 11(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Global equities are extending their recent gains while bonds remain on the defensive. The dollar is firm. There is a degree of optimism that is prevailing. There are some more overtures in terms of US-Chinese trade. In Hong Kong, developers and banks led an equity rally on ideas...

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Negativzinsen – Resultat des chaotischen SNB-Konzepts

Nach der Freigabe der Wechselkurse zu Beginn der 1970er Jahre bestand das geldpolitische Konzept der SNB in sogenannten „Geldmengenzielen“. Es wurde für das kommende Jahr ein Geldmengenziel angestrebt in der Meinung, so die Inflation unter Kontrolle zu halten. Trotzdem: Die Inflation hüpfte damals aufgrund der Angebotsschocks nach Belieben rauf und runter und die SNB schaute konsterniert zu. Trotzig hielt sie aber an ihrem Konzept fest, obwohl dieses auch...

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Oil prices and the global economy

Low oil prices are good news for disposable income. But they also reflect the risk of oversupply in a world where growth indicators continue to point down. Events since Trump first threatened increased tariffs in 2017 provide a textbook example of how tariffs are transmitted through the global economy. First, the uncertainty they create hurts sentiment. Then, as uncertainty lasts, investments are postponed. Indeed, we are currently seeing a progressive decline in...

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