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Small Cap Stocks Are Offering Outsized Returns

The Wall Street Journal published an interesting article For Small Cap Stocks, Look Past The Trump Trade. It is worth sharing the article's premise and the potential pitfalls in the analysis as quite a few articles seem to be popping up recently touting small-cap stocks. Let's start with the scatter plot below, courtesy of Fuery Research Partners and the Wall Street Journal. Data from 1968 shows that the lower the ratio of the P/E of small-cap stocks versus the P/E...

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Forecasting Error Puts Fed On Wrong Side Again

The Federal Reserve's record of forecasting has frequently led it to respond too late to changes in economic and financial conditions. In the most recent FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve changed its statement to support a pause in the current interest rate-cutting cycle. As noted by Forbes: "The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee agreed unanimously to hold the target federal funds rate at 4.25% to 4.5%, the U.S. central bank announced Wednesday...

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BlackRock Plans to Launch Bitcoin-Linked ETP in Switzerland

BlackRock is preparing to introduce a new exchange-traded product (ETP) tied directly to Bitcoin in Europe, following the success of its US$58 billion US-based cryptocurrency ETF. Sources familiar with the matter suggest that the fund will likely be domiciled in Switzerland, with BlackRock potentially beginning its marketing efforts as early as this month. However, as these individuals were not authorised to discuss the details publicly, they remained anonymous. A...

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BIZ warnt vor Risiken wegen Trump

Der Dachverband der Zentralbanken, die Bank für internationalen Zahlungsausgleich in Basel (BIZ), hat zum ersten Mal öffentlich vor den Risiken gewarnt, die von den Handelskriegs- und Deregulierungsplänen des US-Präsidenten Donald Trump ausgehen. Im Extremfall könnte eine abrupte Neubewertung der Staatsverschuldung die Finanzstabilität gefährden.

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