Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.11% to 1.1398 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 16(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ). FX Rates The Japanese yen and Swiss franc remain heavy as the markets continueto shift away from the geopolitical risks. A return to the macroeconomic agenda is being deterred by new drama from Washington and reports suggesting that ECB’s Draghi will not be discussing the central bank’s...
Read More »FX Daily, August 16: Swiss Franc and Yen Improve after Dovish Draghi Comments
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.11% to 1.1398 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 16(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The Japanese yen and Swiss franc remain heavy as the markets continueto shift away from the geopolitical risks. A return to the macroeconomic agenda is being deterred by new drama from Washington and reports suggesting that ECB’s Draghi...
Read More »FX Daily, August 14: Sigh of Relief Weighs on Yen and Gold, while Lifting Equities and the Dollar
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.64% to 1.1425 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The lack of new antagonisms over the weekend between the US and North Korea has prompted the markets to react accordingly. Already before the weekend, we detected some signs that at least some market participants had begun looking past...
Read More »FX Daily, August 11: Geopolitical Tensions Remain Elevated into the Weekend
Swiss Franc The euro is up by 0.19% to 1.1348 CHF EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 11(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The downward pressure on US yields, with the 10-year slipping to 2.18%, nearly a two-month low, coupled drop in equities helped underpin the Japanese yen. The dollar traded below JPY109 for the first time since the middle of June. The greenback...
Read More »FX Daily, August 10: Tensions Remain Elevated, Dollar Firms
Swiss Franc The euro has depreciated by 0.13% to 1.1312CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The net impact is to lift the US dollar, yen and gold. The geopolitical tensions saw more profit-taking in equities. Debt markets are little changed, but the US Treasuries area a little firmer. We suspect that like yesterday, North...
Read More »FX Daily, August 09: North Korea lets EUR/CHF Collapse
Swiss Franc The euro has depreciated by 1.16% to 1.1316CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 09(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is decidedly mixed. The Swiss franc, not the yen is the strongest of the major currencies. It is up nearly 1.1%. If sustained, it could be the biggest single day dollar loss against the franc this year, edging out more than...
Read More »FX Daily, August 08: Trade Featured as Dollar Drifts Lower
Swiss Franc The euro has depreciated by 0.17 to 1.1451 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 08(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar has a slightly lower bias today, but the against most of the major currencies, it is consolidating within the range set at the end of last week. The main exceptions are sterling and the Canadian dollar. They had extended...
Read More »FX Daily, August 07: Outlaw Mondays
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.17% to 1.1469 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 07(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is narrowly mixed to start the new week. Two main developments stand out. First, the dollar-bloc currencies are trading heavily. The Australian dollar is pushing lower for the fifth consecutive session. The greenback is advancing...
Read More »Weekly Speculative Positions (as of August 01): Speculators Press Ahead with Dollar-Bloc Currencies, but Hesitate with Euro and Yen
Swiss Franc Speculators were net short CHF in January 2015, shortly before the end of the peg, with 26.4K contracts. Then again in December 2015, when they expected a Fed rate hike, with 25.5K contracts. The biggest short CHF, however, happened in June 2007, when speculators were net short 80K contracts. Shortly after, the U.S. subprime crisis started. The carry trade against CHF collapsed. The...
Read More »FX Weekly Review, July 31 – August 05: Second Week of Strong CHF Losses
Swiss Franc vs USD and EUR The Swiss Franc entered the second week of stronger losses. While the euro gained 4% last week, the dollar appreciated against the Swiss Franc by 2% during this week. The euro could add another percent in the last days. The EUR/CHF reached 1.1521 after the strong US job figures. Finally, however the euro fell to 1.1451 for two reasons: Profit taking at the end of the week and secondly that...
Read More »