Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.37% at 1.1235 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, June 11(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The recovery in equities continues today in light news day. Nearly all the bourses in the Asia Pacific region rose, led by a 2.6% gain of the Shanghai Composite. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose for a third session. European equity...
Read More »FX Daily, April 10: XI’s Day, but Not So Good for Putin
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.25% to 1.1807 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates It did not look so good. The S&P 500 fell about 1.65% in the last couple hours of trading yesterday paring its gains. Press reports indicated that President Trump’s lawyer’s office, house and hotel were the subject of search warrants. A...
Read More »FX Daily, February 15: Stocks Jump, Bonds Dump, and the Dollar Slumps
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.24% to 1.1535 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 15(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The significant development this week has been the recovery of equities after last week’s neck-breaking drop, while yields have continued to rise. The dollar has taken is cues from the risk-on impulse from the equity market and the...
Read More »FX Daily, January 11: Capital Markets Calmer, Greenback Consolidates
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.45% to 1.1735 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 11(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates As market participants were just getting their sea legs back after the start of the year, it was hit by a one-two punch of ideas that BOJ policy was turning less accommodative and that Chinese officials were wary of adding to their Treasury...
Read More »FX Daily, November 14: Euro Rides High After German GDP
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.22% to 1.1646 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, November 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Sterling is trading in the lower end of yesterday’s range and has been confined to about a quarter a cent on either side of $1.31. On the other hand, the euro has pushed a bit through GBP0.8950 to reach its best level since October 26....
Read More »FX Daily, October 12: Discipline Argues Against Consensus Narrative
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.09% to 1.155 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Following the release of the FOMC minutes from last month’s meeting, the consensus narrative that has emerged says that it was dovish because there is a growing worry the reason inflation fell is not simply due to transitory factors. This...
Read More »Evolving Thoughts on Inflation
In early 2005, Greenspan said that the fact that long-term rates were lower despite the Fed’s campaign to raise short-term rates was a “conundrum.” Many rushed to offer the Fed Chair an explanation of the conundrum, which given past cycles may not have been such an enigma in the first place. Be it as it may, at last week’s press conference, Yellen admitted that the decline in inflation was a “mystery.” She said, “I...
Read More »FX Daily, August 10: Tensions Remain Elevated, Dollar Firms
Swiss Franc The euro has depreciated by 0.13% to 1.1312CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 10(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The net impact is to lift the US dollar, yen and gold. The geopolitical tensions saw more profit-taking in equities. Debt markets are little changed, but the US Treasuries area a little firmer. We suspect that like yesterday, North...
Read More »FX Daily, June 13: Dollar Softens Ahead of Start of FOMC Meeting
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.02% to 1.0850 CHF. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, June 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is trading with a heavier bias against all the major currencies save the Japanese yen. The Scandis and Canadian dollar are leading the move. Sweden reported a 0.1% rise in the headline and underlying inflation while the median expected a decline of...
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