Overview The SNB earned 2 billion on negative interest rates, but lost nearly 17 billion CHF on FX investments, of which 5 bn on bonds and 12 bn on stocks. The increasing volatility of SNB Earnings Annual results are not really definite. Given that the SNB accumulates foreign currencies with interventions, the results have huge swings that depends on the FX rate. But the SNB may lose 50 billion in one year and win 60...
Read More »SNB reports a loss of CHF 7.8 billion for third quarter of 2018
The increasing volatility of SNB Earnings Annual results are not really definite. Given that the SNB accumulates foreign currencies with interventions, they have huge swings. But the SNB may lose 50 billion in one year and win 60 billion in the next year or vice verse. Good years of the Credit Cycle This trend was stopped in 2016, even without the need for a cap on the franc. But one should consider that we are in...
Read More »SNB reports a profit of CHF 5.1 billion for the first half of 2018
The increasing volatility of SNB Earnings Annual results are not really definite. Given that the SNB accumulates foreign currencies with interventions, they have huge swings. But the SNB may lose 50 billion in one year and win 60 billion in the next year or vice verse. Good years of the Credit Cycle This trend was stopped in 2016, even without the need for a cap on the franc. But one should consider that we are in...
Read More »SNB loses 6.8 billion in Q1/2018
The increasing volatility of SNB Earnings Annual results are not really definite. Given that the SNB accumulates foreign currencies with interventions, they have huge swings. But the SNB may lose 50 billion in one year and win 60 billion in the next year or vice verse. Good years of the Credit Cycle This trend was stopped in 2016, even without the need for a cap on the franc. But one should consider that we are in the...
Read More »SNB reports a profit of CHF 47.6 billion for Q1 2018
The increasing volatility of SNB Earnings Annual results are not really definite. Given that the SNB accumulates foreign currencies with interventions, they have huge swings. But the SNB may lose 50 billion in one year and win 60 billion in the next year or vice verse. Good years of the Credit Cycle This trend was stopped in 2016, even without the need for a cap on the franc. But one should consider that we are in...
Read More »SNB reports a profit of CHF 54.4 billion for 2017
(Several calculation mistake were corrected) The increasing volatility of SNB Earnings Annual results are not really definite. Given that the SNB accumulates foreign currencies with interventions, they have huge swings. But the SNB may lose 50 billion in one year and win 60 billion in the next year or vice verse SNB Results Longterm 2017 - Click to enlarge Annual result of the Swiss National Bank for 2017...
Read More »The good years have started, increasing SNB Profits
The increasing volatility of SNB Earnings Annual results are not really definite. Given that the SNB accumulates foreign currencies with interventions, they have huge swings. But in 2017, the picture is changed. Assuming a “biblical” cycle of seven good years and seven bad years, the SNB could now increase profits every year – thanks to a weaker franc and the seven good years. … until the next recession comes and the...
Read More »Weekly SNB Interventions and Speculative Positions: Investors do not take North Korea dispute seriously
FX Despite the tensions between Donald Trump and North Korea’s Kim Jong-un, the EUR/CHF only depreciated to a low of 1.1284. Headlines Week August 14, 2017 On June 27, Draghi told the audience at the annual ECB Forum that transitory factors were holding back inflation. This has boosted the euro against both USD and CHF. Our opinion, however, is that this “transition” is very long, possibly comparable to the Japanese...
Read More »SNB reports a profit of CHF 1.2 billion for the first half of 2017
From the official news release Interim results of the Swiss National Bank as at 30 June 2017 The Swiss National Bank (SNB) reports a profit of CHF 1.2 billion for the first half of 2017. A valuation gain of CHF 0.3 billion was recorded on gold holdings. The profit on foreign currency positions amounted to CHF 0.1 billion and the profit on Swiss franc positions stood at CHF 0.9 billion. The SNB’s financial result...
Read More »Weekly SNB Interventions and Speculative Positions: Hawkish ECB, less SNB interventions
FX The EUR/CHF remained over 1.10 in the last week, thanks to hawkish comments from ECB president Draghi. Headlines Week July 17, 2017 On June 27, Draghi told the audience at the annual ECB Forum that transitory factors were holding back inflation. This has boosted the euro against both USD and CHF. Our opinion, however, is that this “transition” is very long, possibly comparable to the Japanese deflation/...
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