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Tag Archives: GBP

FX Daily, February 14: Investors Remain Uneasy even as Equities Stabilize

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.08% to 1.1533 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates There is an unease that continues to hang over the market. It is as if a shoe fell last week, and most investors seem to be waiting for the other shoe to drop. It is hard to imagine the kind of body blow that the equities took last week...

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FX Daily, February 13: Tuesday’s Two Developments

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.09% to 1.1531 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates There are two important developments today. First, the recovery in the global equity markets is being challenged. Second, the yen has strengthened across the board, and is now at its best levels against the dollar since last September’s...

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FX Daily, February 12: Equity Markets Find Firmer Footing, Dollar Softens

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.11% to 1.1505 CHF. EUR/CHf and USD/CHF, February 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The most important development today has been the stability in the equity markets after last week’s meltdown. The recovery from new lows in the US before the weekend set the tone for today’s moves. Tokyo markets were on holiday, and the...

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Great Graphic: FX Vol Elevated, but Still Modest

Summary: FX implied vol bottomed before the VIX took off. FX vol is at the highs for the year, but euro and yen vol is lower than last September. Sterling vol has risen the most. With the substantial swings in the volatility of equities that have captured the imagination of journalists and punished investors who bought financial derivatives that profited from the low vol environment, we thought it would be...

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FX Daily, February 08: Dollar Firms, While Equities Search for Stability

Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.43% to 1.152 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 08(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The swings in the equity markets are subsiding, bond yields are firm and the US dollar is extending its recovery. Although US equities closed lower, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index snapped a four-day drop by posting a 0.25% gain. However, the...

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Great Graphic: Major Currencies Year-to-Date

Summary: The major currencies but the Canadian dollar peaked Jan 25-26. The Australian dollar has fallen the most since peaking. Many are still viewing the dollar’s recovery as technical in nature and not a turn in the trend. This Great Graphic was created on Bloomberg. It shows five major currencies against the US dollar this year. To avoid giving a misleading impression, the currencies are index to start...

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FX Daily, February 07: Guns and Butter May Resolve US Legislative Logjam

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.18% to 1.1602 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 07(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates After a volatile session in North America, the major equity indices closed higher. In fact, the 1.75% rise in the S&P 500 was the best since November 2016. Asian equities stabilized, and the MSCI Asia Pacific Index was able to eke out...

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Cool Video: Bloomberg Double Feature–BOE Meeting and the Yield Curve

- Click to enlarge The Bank of England meets tomorrow. Although no one expects a move, it has little to do with the recent market volatility. The FTSE 100 is poised to snap a six-day 7%+ slide. The FTSE 250 fell for seven consecutive sessions through yesterday, shedding 5.75% in the process. The UK’s 2-year yield slipped about seven basis points from last week’s close to58 bp before recovering to 63 bp today,...

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FX Daily, February 05: Dollar Consolidates while Equity Rout may be Ebbing

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.19% to 1.1622 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Asian equity markets were weighed down by losses in the US markets ahead of the weekend. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index was off 1.4% after the 1.0% pre-weekend loss. The Nikkei gapped lower and shed 2.5% and has fallen in eight of the past...

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Did Mnuchin Signal a Policy Shift Today?

Did US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin signal a change in the US dollar policy? Probably not. As Mnuchin and President Trump have done before, a distinction was drawn between short- and longer-term perspectives. In the short-term, a weaker dollar says Mnuchin, is good for US trade and “other opportunities”. In the longer-term, Mnuchin explicitly acknowledged, “the strength of the dollar is a reflection of the strength of the...

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