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Tag Archives: FX Daily

FX Daily, August 15: Dollar Eases to Start the New Week

Swiss Franc The Swiss Franc was nearly unchanged against the euro. Click to enlarge. FX Rates The US dollar closed the pre-weekend session well off its lows that were seen in response to the disappointing retail sales report. It has been unable to sustain the upside momentum, and as North American dealers prepare to return to their posts, it is trading lower against most of the major currencies. The notable...

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FX Daily, August 12: Summer Markets Grind into the Weekend

Swiss Franc The weak U.S. Retail Sales report let the euro improve against the dollar. We would have expected a stronger franc, given that the German growth was stronger (see more on the relationship between the German economy and CHF). Some technical movement after yesterday’s strong fall of EUR/CHF may have prevented that. Click to enlarge. United States There is a general consolidative tone in the capital...

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FX Daily, August 11: Sterling Struggles to Find a Bid, While RBNZ Can’t Knock Kiwi Down

Swiss Franc Once again, EUR/CHF reverses in the middle of the week. A part from technical reasons, the weak French CPI (+0.4% YoY) and Italian CPI (-0.2% YoY) exercised downwards pressure on the euro. Click to enlarge. FX Rates The US dollar has found steadier footing today after trading heavily yesterday.  There are two main themes.  The first is sterling’s heavy tone.  After closing the North American session...

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FX Daily, August 10: FX Consolidation Resolved in Favor of Weaker US Dollar

Swiss Franc Click to enlarge. FX Rates European bourses are mixed, and this is leaving the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 practically unchanged in late-European morning turnover. Financials are the strongest sector (+0.4%), and within it, the insurance sector is leading with a 0.8% advance and banks are up 0.4%. The FTSE’s Italian bank index is up 1.4% to extend its recovery into a fifth session. Bond markets are broadly...

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FX Daily, August 09: Sterling Slips to a Four-Week Low, EUR/CHF still trending up

Swiss Franc The upwards tendency of the euro against CHF continues.The 100 day EMA of 1.0901 has passed. Click to enlarge. FX Rates In an otherwise uneventful foreign exchange market, sterling’s slide for its fifth consecutive session is the highlight. It was pushed below $1.30 for the first time since July 12. Initial resistance for the North American session is seen near $1.3020, while the $1.2960 area...

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FX Daily, August 08: Stocks Up, Bonds Down, Dollar and Yen are Heavy

Swiss Franc Click to enlarge. FX Rates Investors favor risk assets today.  Global stocks are moving higher in the wake of the pre-weekend US rally that saw the S&P 500 close at record levels.  Bond yields are mostly firmer, again with US move in response to the robust employment report setting the tone in Asia.  European bonds participated in most of the pre-weekend move and are consolidating today with a...

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FX Daily, August 05: US Jobs Data on Tap, but Don’t Expect Miracles

Swiss Franc As usual, when U.S. data is good, then the EUR/CHF appreciates. Click to enlarge. FX Rates The focus is squarely on the US employment data today, ahead of which the capital markets are mostly consolidating yesterday’s Bank of England inspired moved. The Australian and New Zealand dollars, alongside sterling, which is up about half a cent after losing two yesterday. The RBA’s monetary policy statement...

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FX Daily, August 04: The BOE Owns Today, but Tomorrow is a Different Story

Swiss Franc The Swiss Franc appreciated today against the euro. Given that the Bank of England started monetary easing, this slight appreciation is unexpectedly weak – reason was probably intervention. The SNB intervention level should be around 1 billion francs. Numbers revealed in next week’s sight deposits. Click to enlarge. Bank of England The Bank of England owns today, though tomorrow will be about the US...

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FX Daily, August 03: Consolidation Featured

Swiss Franc Click to enlarge. FX Rates The US dollar is consolidating yesterday’s losses.  The greenback’s upticks have thus far been shallow and unimpressive, except perhaps against the New Zealand dollar, which is off 0.8% ahead of next week’s RBNZ meeting.  Softer than expected labor cost increase reinforces the conviction that a 25 bp rate cut will be delivered next week. The asset markets are more...

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FX Daily, August 02: Greenback Slides Despite RBA Rate Cut and 7-year Low in UK Construction PMI

Swiss Franc The euro appreciated against both Swiss Franc and dollar. Swiss retail sales was again very weak, but emphasize our last month comment: The measurement of retail sales (and also GDP) ignore the active second-hand markets in Switzerland. The Swiss SVME PMI was at 50.1 close to contraction, another piece of bad data. Click to enlarge. FX Rates The US dollar is offered against the major currencies, but...

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