While few will be trading in the week between Christmas and New Years, we thought it might be helpful to review the dollar’s technical condition. We make two overall points. First, although the dollar’s rally strengthened and extended after the November US election, this leg up of the dollar’s longer-term rally began at the end of Q3. The anticipation of new policies by the Trump Administration, part of the story,...
Read More »FX Weekly Review, December 12 – December 16: Fed Lifts Dollar, but Consolidation may be on Tap
Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index reduced its losses to 2 percent in the last month, while the dollar index is still 2.5 percent up. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, December 16(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ) Source: FT.com - Click to enlarge The chart shows the massive advance of the dollar index in the last three years, while the Swiss Franc index lagged. Swiss Franc Currency Index (3...
Read More »FX Weekly Review, December 05 – December 09: Dollar Bulls Running Out of Time to See Parity vs Euro in 2016
Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index remained in a losing position compared to the dollar index. However since November 25, it has remained stable. Given that the ECB extended the QE period, the EUR/CHF has fallen to 1.0730 again. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, December 09(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ) Source: FT.com - Click to enlarge Swiss Franc Currency Index (3 years) The Swiss...
Read More »FX Weekly Review, December 05 – December 09: Dollar Bulls Running Out of Time to See Parity vs Euro in 2016
Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index remained in a losing position compared to the dollar index. However since November 25, it has remained stable. Given that the ECB extended the QE period, the EUR/CHF has fallen to 1.0730 again. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, December 09(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ) Source: FT.com - Click to enlarge Swiss Franc Currency Index (3 years) The Swiss...
Read More »L’Allemagne est le patron-sponsor de l’Eurosystem.
L’Eurosystem fait sauter les frontières nationales et unifie le système du trafic de paiement… Lors des échanges commerciaux et interbancaires, il y a des banques émettrices de monnaie et vis-à-vis une banque réceptrice. Normalement, à la fin de la journée, tout cela devrait être ramené à l’équilibre. Ceci n’est plus le cas depuis la crise américaine de 2007 (subprimes) comme nous le voyons sur le graphique...
Read More »Rule Britannia
A Glorious Day What a glorious day for Britain and anyone among you who continues to believe in the ideas of liberty, freedom, and sovereign democratic rule. The British people have cast their vote and I have never ever felt so relieved about having been wrong. Against all expectations, the leave camp somehow managed to push the referendum across the center line, with 51.9% of voters counted electing to leave the...
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