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Tag Archives: commodity currencies

Oil currencies offer limited potential

After a period of currency strength linked to the revival in oil prices last year, the Norwegian krone and Canadian dollar may find it harder to make further advances in 2017.In 2016, the sharp rebound in oil prices and the November OPEC deal to cut oil production have been supportive of oil-producer currencies like the Norwegian krone and Canadian dollar. However, we believe the oil price is likely to stabilise at around USD55 in 2017, close to where it already is. In an environment where...

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On the Road to Panicville

  An Alert for the Global Posse of Liquidity Junkies In the summer of 2015 and again in December-February this year, global stock markets were rattled by weakness in the yuan’s exchange rate vs. the US dollar. Yuan weakness is widely held to exacerbate pressures on other (already weak) emerging market currencies, but more importantly, it is seen as a symptom of accelerating capital flight from China. USD-CNY, daily; onshore yuan rate USD-CNY, daily (a rising price denotes yuan weakness)...

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