Tag Archives: Brexit

Submitted by George Friedman and Jacob Shapiro via MauldinEconomics.com, What will the year ahead look like for Europe? 2017 will be another chapter in the European Union’s slow unraveling… a process that has been underway for over a decade. The EU is a union in name only. The transfer of sovereignty to Brussels was never total, and member states are independent countries… each with their own interests at stake....

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, January 16(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The euro has been sold to $1.0580 in the European morning, a cent lower from the pre-weekend high. In addition to the drag from sterling, the euro appears to have been sold in response to the interview in two European papers of the next US President.  Among other things, Trump reported claimed that NATO...

Summary: Bank of Canada may be more upbeat following strong jobs and trade figures. China’s President Xi will speak at Davos and likely defend globalization and free trade, which some think the US is abandoning. UK PM May’s speech on Brexit may be blunted by few surprises, collapse of the government in Northern Ireland, and the pending Supreme Court ruling. ECB will leave rates on hold and look for Draghi to push...

Summary: UK could pay for single market access. UK’s position still seems fluid. The Supreme Court will hear the government’s appeal next week. Sterling has been lifted to its best since October 6 on the back of comments by UK’s Brexit Minister Davis.  In answer to questions in Parliament, Davis acknowledged that access to the EU single market might be secured by the UK paying for it. He talked about making a...

Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: Prime Minister May is appealing the High Court decision and preparing to present broad guidelines of her strategy. An early election; even if it could be arranged, it is not clear which wing of the Tories would win. May missed the opportunity to provide...

Bild: Andrea Damm (pixelio) Seit Ende Juni, also just nach dem Brexit-Beschluss, scheinen sich ausländische Anleger wieder vermehrt der Schweiz zuzuwenden. Hat die Schweiz an Attraktivität gewonnen? Auch die Schweizer bleiben am Ball. Die Wertpapierdepots der heimischen Institutionellen knackten die 2 Bio.-Franken-Schwelle. Gemäss den neuesten Daten der Schweizerischen Nationalbank...

Bild: Andreas Hermsdorf (pixelio) Tim Haywood, Investment Director bei GAM, kommentiert die Entwicklung des britischen Pfunds nach dessem Absturz um 6 Prozent. Der Flash Crash, der das britische Pfund über Nacht zum Absturz gebracht hat, kommt einem Darstellerwechsel auf den Märkten gleich, der von algorithmischen Handelsplattformen ausgelöst wurde. Diese arbeiten heute auf einem...

Summary: I reiterated my long-standing view that the euro is going to retest its record lows before the Obama Dollar Rally is over. I warn that the UK’s quest to regain sovereignty is an illusion. I announce that my new book will be published in early December or early January. I was on Bloomberg TV earlier today with Tom Keene, the one of a kind anchor, and Booth Business School Professor Luigi Zingales. ...

Swiss Franc For us the developments in the trade balance express if a currency is overvalued or not (more details here). The Swiss trade surplus is constant or rather rising, hence the Swiss Franc is correctly valued or rather undervalued.And – as we see below – the franc appreciated. Switzerland Trade Balance(see more posts on Switzerland Trade Balance, )Switzerland Trade Balance – click to enlarge. FX Rates...

Christophe Bernard, Chefstratege von Vontobel. Der Ausgang der Brexit-Abstimmung in Grossbritannien war eine vermeintliche Katastrophe, die nicht eingetreten ist. Natürlich wird es Auswirkungen auf die Wirtschaft des Landes geben, und natürlich sind die europäischen Regierungschefs noch immer über das Ergebnis des Referendums entsetzt. Nichtsdestotrotz geht in der Europäischen Union alles seinen gewohnten...