On his blog, Ben Bernanke discusses the merits of the Fed’s strategy to slowly reduce the size of its balance sheet to pre crisis levels. Bernanke suggests that this strategy should be reconsidered: First, the large balance sheet provides lots of safe and liquid assets for financial markets. This might strengthen financial stability. (DN: In my view, there are also reasons to expect the opposite.) Second, a larger balance sheet can help improve the workings of the monetary transmission...
Read More »Helicopter Drops of Money
In his blog, Ben Bernanke discusses the merits of “helicopter drops” as a monetary policy tool. [A] “helicopter drop” of money is an expansionary fiscal policy—an increase in public spending or a tax cut—financed by a permanent increase in the money stock. … the Fed credits the Treasury … in the Treasury’s “checking account” at the central bank, and those funds are used to pay for the new spending and the tax rebate. … it should influence the economy through a number of channels, making it...
Read More »History of Bank of Japan Interventions
We show the history of Japanese FX interventions. The Japanese only intervened when the USD/JPY was under 80. Therefore the 2016 FX intervention threads at 108 are ridiculous.As opposed to the Swiss National Bank, the Japanese only talk, they do not fight. 2016 Japanese interventions thread Once the Fed finally reduced rate expections, the USD/JPY depreciated from 120 to 108 in a single quarter. (via Reuters and investing.com) Gains for stock markets and a warning of the chances of...
Read More »Longer-Term Interest Rate Pegs
In his blog, Ben Bernanke discusses the merits of longer-term interest rate targeting as a monetary policy tool. A lot would depend on the credibility of the Fed’s announcement. If investors do not believe that the Fed will be successful at pushing down the two-year rate … they will immediately sell their securities of two years’ maturity or less to the Fed. … the Fed could end up owning most or all of the eligible securities, with uncertain consequences for interest rates overall. On the...
Read More »SNB Foreign Currency Reserves
Rising. Source: SNB. The series “in EUR” is based on the author’s calculations. Note: The exchange rate floor vis-a-vis the Euro was in place from 6 September 2011 until 15 January 2015.
Read More »SNB Reduced Loss from 50 Billion in June to 23 Billion
According to the latest news release, the Swiss National Bank expects an annual loss of 23 billion CHF, after reporting a loss of 50 billion at the end of June. Primarily thanks to the stronger dollar, the SNB was able to achieve unrealized gains of 27 billion CHF in the second half. This reduced her annual loss to 23 billion. With its rate hike, Fed is helping the SNB: the dollar has appreciated by 6% since July. Balance Sheet The SNB balance sheet looks as follows. In this post we...
Read More »SNB
Swiss National Bank, the Most Relevant Pages Click here for the multi-media version of this page on the social media site Scoop It. The chapter on the SNB has the following sections (click open): Recent articles and updates: Older posts about the SNB balance sheet risks On the SNB balance sheet and sight deposits, the means of financing currency interventions: SNB Reserves vs. EUR/CHF On SNB results and its future profitability, from 2014 and 2013 that predicted the end of the...
Read More »SNB Reduced Loss from 50 Billion in June to 23 Billion
According to the latest news release, the Swiss National Bank expects an annual loss of 23 billion CHF, after reporting a loss of 50 billion at the end of June. Primarily thanks to the stronger dollar, the SNB was able to achieve unrealized gains of 27 billion CHF in the second half. This reduced her annual loss to 23 billion. With its rate hike, Fed is helping the SNB: the dollar has appreciated by 6% since July. Balance Sheet The SNB balance sheet looks as follows. In this post we...
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