SNB & CHF

The US-China tensions remain the dominant driver of investor risk appetites. President Trump has repeatedly accused China of manipulating its currency on twitter, and finally Treasury Secretary Mnuchiin acquiesced after China failed to prevent the dollar from rising above CNY7.0. China set the reference rate for the dollar lower than models based on the basket the PBOC uses implied for the past three sessions, and this...

On the one hand, it’s a small silver lining in how many even in the mainstream are beginning to realize that there really is something wrong. Then again, they are using “trade wars” to make sense of how that could be. For the one, at least they’ve stopped saying China’s economy is strong and always looks resilient no matter what data comes out. Even after all that supposed “stimulus” starting in the middle of last year...

The demand for the Swiss franc decreases as Wall Street indices are gaining strength.  The level to beat for bulls are at 0.9790 and 0.9815 level. USD/CHF daily chart USD/CHF is trading off 2-month lows below the main daily simple moving averages (DSMAs). Equity markets are recovering from the recent selloff easing the demand for safe-haven currencies such as CHF and JPY. USD/CHF daily chart - Click to enlarge...

A four-day long descending triangle formation limits USD/CHF moves ahead of Swiss Unemployment Rate. 100-hour EMA offers an additional barrier to the upside. In addition to its choppy 11-pip trading range since morning, a four-day long descending triangle formation also limits USD/CHF pair moves as it trades near 0.9740 heading into Friday’s European market open. Investors will seek clues from Switzerland’s July month...

The near-term impact will likely be limited but this is a clear negative for trade negotiations. Shortly after the renminbi’s sharp depreciation on Monday, the US Treasury Department labelled China a currency manipulator. This is the first time in 25 years that the US government has designated a country as a currency manipulator. According to the US Treasury Department, the decision was triggered by the perceived lack...

At its annual press conference in January, Novartis focused on “transformative treatments” – a therapy based on the belief that illness may be caused by the subconscious influences. Swiss pharmaceutical company Novartis has dismissed criticism that it allegedly withheld information about animal testing data inaccuracies to United States authorities for a human gene therapy. Novartisexternal link said its subsidiary in...

Despite the CNY’s recent fall, we believe the People’s Bank of China will refrain from competitive devaluation Following US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a new 10% tariff on USD300 billion of Chinese goods, the Chinese renminbi (rmb) weakened sharply and breached CNY7.00 per USD. The recent rmb move, in our view, represents a major shift in the People’s Bank of China’s (PBoC) currency policy, reflecting the...

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.27% to 1.0948 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 08(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The challenges for investors have not gone away, but a combination of factors has helped stabilize the capital markets. The PBOC set the dollar’s reference rate above CNY7.0, but not as high as anticipated, and this has seen the yuan...

The world’s two great powers are at loggerheads. Chinese nationalism meet your sister, US nationalism. Import substitution strategy of Made in China 2025 meet your cousin Make America Great Again. Paradoxically, or dialectically, the similarities are producing divergent interests that extend well beyond economics and trade policy. Consider that the intermediate-range nuclear missile treaty between the US and Russia did...

Swissmetal has a long history beginning in the second half of the 19th century. But the company came under growing pressure in the 1980s as a result of international competition. The cash-strapped Baoshida Swissmetal company has been taken over by a group of Swiss investors six years after it was sold to a Chinese group. The newly-founded Swissmetal Industries, backed by two private investors, said it had acquired the...