A cemetery with 1,300-year-old graves has been discovered in the village of Fehraltorf. Archaeologists have also found jewellery, weapons and everyday objects from the early Middle Ages. (SRF/swissinfo.ch) --- swissinfo.ch is the international branch of the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC). Its role is to report on Switzerland and to provide a Swiss perspective on international events. For more articles, interviews and videos visit swissinfo.ch or subscribe to our YouTube channel:...
Read More »Emerging Markets: What has Changed
(from my colleague Dr. Win Thin) 1) China’s central bank announced a 0.5% cut in the required reserve ratio2) Moody's cut the outlook on China's Aa3 rating to negative from stable3) Argentina and the main holdouts agreed to a debt restructuring deal4) Brazilian press reported that a senator implicated both Rousseff and Lula in the corruption probe as part of a plea bargain5) Chile is cutting back government spending this year in response to low copper prices In the EM equity space,...
Read More »US Jobs Headline Better than Details
The optics of the US jobs report was better than the details, which is the exact opposite of the January employment report. The US dollar strengthened on the news. The US created 242k jobs in February. The consensus was for around 195k. The January gain of 151k was revised up to 172k The household survey showed a 530k increase. The market expected a 175k. In January the household survey showed an increase of 615k. Combined the household survey has showed over a million new jobs. ...
Read More »US Jobs Data Awaited, but Barring Significant Surprise, May Not be Key Driver
The US dollar is mixed ahead of the US employment data. The Antipodeans and Scandis are doing best while sterling and the Canadian dollar are under-performing. Investors appetite for risk has increased. The market is confident that the next Fed hike is unlikely to be delivered before June. The implied yield on the June Fed funds futures contract is 45 bp. This is up from 38.5 bp on February 11. If the Fed were to hike rates on June 15 and Fed funds were to average 38 bp in the first...
Read More »Swiss GDP and Swiss Franc Shock Propaganda
For the Swiss press, 2015 has been the year of the “Swiss franc shock“. Based on the GDP release from the Swiss ministry of economics (SECO), we wanted to know what in the Swiss economy got really “shocked”. The following table compares the Swiss GDP components and population data since 2009. Economists might think that the “Swiss franc shock“, the suddenly far stronger franc in January 2015 should lead to less exports and more imports, hence to a considerable weakening of “Net...
Read More »Mark O’Byrne, GoldCore
PickingAlpha.com talks to Mark O'Byrne, Founder and Research Director of GoldCore. GoldCore was founded in Dublin in 2003, GoldCore were Ireland’s first gold broker and are now Ireland’s most established and trusted gold broker. GoldCore are an Irish based and Irish owned company who have become one of the leading gold brokers in the world, serving clients throughout Ireland and in over 45 countries internationally. Mark O'Byrne gives his detailed insight on the Gold Market, answering...
Read More »Geneva Motor Show glamour girls in the spotlight
It could be argued that the Geneva International Motor Show is just a tad macho. At the preview days for the press, you could hardly see the new metal for all the stick-thin models striking poses in front of the cars. Is it really necessary in this day and age to dress up new motors with pretty girls? (Julie Hunt, swissinfo.ch) --- swissinfo.ch is the international branch of the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC). Its role is to report on Switzerland and to provide a Swiss perspective on...
Read More »Swiss taxi drivers stand up to Uber
Taxi drivers from all over Switzerland have been demonstrating in the capital Bern against “unfair competition” from the ride-sharing service Uber. The unions have accused it of undercutting fare prices, but Uber says it offers much-needed competition in a country where taxi fares are sky high. (SRF/swissinfo.ch) --- swissinfo.ch is the international branch of the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC). Its role is to report on Switzerland and to provide a Swiss perspective on international...
Read More »Great Graphic: Inflation Expectations via 10-Year Breakevens
Over the next fortnight the major central banks, including the ECB, BOJ, Fed and BOE will hold policy-making meetings. Of the four, expectations are the highest for the ECB to ease policy. Given the poor economic data, including deflationary pressures, and the tightening of financial conditions, the BOJ could also adjust policy. However, after the G20 meeting, it seems as if the bar for fresh monetary easing is higher than it had previously appeared. This does not mean that the BOJ...
Read More »Markets Calm; Waiting For…?
The global capital markets are quiet today, as investors await fresh impetus which could come in the form of tomorrow's US national employment figures. There is also next week's ECB meeting that looms large for investors. The euro is trading quietly. In fact, through the European morning, the euro has been confined to a little more than a third of a cent above $1.0850. It has not been above $1.09 since Monday, and despite contrasting economic signals, and the anticipation of more...
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