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Emerging Markets: The Week Ahead

Stock Markets EM FX ended Friday on a mixed note, as risk assets recovered a bit from broad-based selling pressures. Best EM performers on the week were ZAR, PHP, and CNY while the worst were COP, RUB, and ARS. Besides the risk-off impulses still reverberating through global markets, we think lower commodity prices are another headwind on EM. Stock Markets Emerging Markets, February 07 Source: economist.com -...

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Charles Hugh Smith on Cyprus, Russia, the US, China and more

Subscribe to our newsletter at Episode 110: Charles Hugh Smith of talks to GoldMoney´s Alasdair Macleod. They talk about the. Subscribe to our newsletter at Episode 110: Charles Hugh Smith of talks to GoldMoney´s . Economic collapse and financial crisis is rising any moment. Getting informed about collapse. Bill Black: Standard Chartered admits to fraud, no one fired or prosecuted; Cypriot people force government to give up on taxing smaller depositors.

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Swiss stock market holds up amid global turbulence

Worldwide stock market fluctuations have been sparked by a nervous Wall Street. (Keystone) - Click to enlarge After a week marked by declines on Wall Street and stalling Asian markets, the Swiss stock market closed on Friday relatively unscathed, with the index of blue chip stocks dropping 0.93% to 8682.00 points. Over the course of the week, the Swiss Market Index (SMI) of leading Swiss stocks fell by 3.1%. It had...

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“This Is Where They Completely Lost Their Minds” – Hussman

“This Is Where They Completely Lost Their Minds” – Hussman– Hussman warns ‘the S&P 500 to lose approximately two-thirds of its value over the completion of this cycle’– ‘the market has lost value, even since 2009, when overvalued, overbought, overbullish conditions were joined by divergent internals’– Believes the market is going to learn lessons about the crash ‘the hard way’ - Click to enlarge In an almost...

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Three Crazy Things We Now Accept as “Normal”

How can central banks “retrain” participants while maintaining their extreme policies of stimulus? Human habituate very easily to new circumstances, even extreme ones. What we accept as “normal” now may have been considered bizarre, extreme or unstable a few short years ago. Three economic examples come to mind: 1. Near-zero interest rates. If someone had announced to a room of economists and financial journalists in...

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CNY, Not Imports

In February 2013, the Chinese Golden Week fell late in the calendar. The year before, 2012, New Year was January 23rd, meaning that the entire Spring festival holiday was taken with the month of January. The following year, China’s New Year was placed on February 10, with the Golden Week taking up the entire middle month of February. For economic statistics, that meant extreme difficulty translating year-over-year...

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US Stocks – Minor Dip With Potential, Much Consternation

It’s Just a Flesh Wound – But a Sad Day for Vol Sellers On January 31 we wrote about the unprecedented levels – for a stock market index that is – the weekly and monthly RSI of the DJIA had reached (see: “Too Much Bubble Love, Likely to Bring Regret” for the astonishing details – provided you still have some capacity for stock market-related astonishment). We will take the opportunity to toot our horn by reminding...

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Emerging Markets: What has Changed

Summary Reuters reported that China may loosen controls on outbound capital flows (QDLP). Samsung chief Lee was set free in an unexpected court reversal. Romania central bank hiked rates by 25 bp and raised its inflation forecasts for the next two years. South Africa President Zuma appears to be on the way out. Ecuador voters approved a referendum that reinstates term limits for the president. Venezuela central bank...

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South Korea and Switzerland set a currency swap

The Swiss National Bank will sign the agreement with the Bank of Korea later in February (Keystone) - Click to enlarge South Korea and Switzerland are entering into a bilateral currency swap agreement, it was announced on Friday. The move is aimed at strengthening buffers against external financial shocks for both countries. “The swap agreement enables Korean won and Swiss francs to be purchased and...

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Before You “Buy the Dip,” Look at This One Chart

Hello reverse wealth effect. There’s a place for fancy technical interpretations, but sometimes a basic chart tells us quite a lot. Here is a basic chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the DJIA. It displays basic information: price candlesticks, volume, the 50-week and 200-week moving averages, RSI (relative strength), MACD (moving average convergence-divergence), stochastics and the MACD histogram. These kinds...

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