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SNB & CHF

FX Daily, September 13: Sterling Shines While Euro Stalls in Front of $1.20

(The next leg of the business trip takes me to Frankfurt. Sporadic updates will continue) Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.14% to 1.147 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates We have been identifying the $1.3430 area is a reasonable technical target for sterling. It represents the 50% retracement of sterling’s losses...

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Fewer planes carry more passengers

Some 52 million passengers took off, landed or transited via Swiss airports last year. But while the number of passengers continues to soar, there are fewer planes in operation than in 2000. There are now fewer planes in circulation, but they have much bigger capacities, like this Airbus A380 taking off from Zurich Airport (Keystone) - Click to enlarge In 2016, Switzerland’s national airports in Zurich, Geneva...

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Buy Gold for Long Term as “Fiat Money Is Doomed”

 – Buy gold for long term as fiat money is doomed warns Frisby– Gold’s “winning streak” will continue in long term– September is traditionally a good month for gold, as we head into the Indian wedding season– “It’s just a matter of time before gold comes good again…”by Dominic Frisby, Money Week Today folks, by popular demand, we’re talking gold. It’s had a nice summer run. What now? Gold Daily, Jul 2010 - Oct 2017(see...

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US Export/Import: ‘Something’ Is Still Out There

In January 2016, just as the wave of “global turmoil” was cresting on domestic as well as foreign shores, retired Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke was giving a series of lectures for the IMF. His topic wasn’t really the so-called taper tantrum of 2013 but it really was. Even ideologically blinded economists like Bernanke could see how one might have followed the other; the roots of 2016 in 2013. In May and June of...

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Swiss Producer and Import Price Index in August 2017: +0.6 YoY, +0.3 MoM

The Producer Price Index (PPI) or officially named “Producer and Import Price Index” describes the changes in prices for producers and importers. For us it is interesting because it is used in the formula for the Real Effective Exchange Rate. When producers and importers profit on lower price changes when compared to other countries, then the Swiss Franc reduces its overvaluation. The Swiss PPI values of -6% in 2015...

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Precious Metals Supply and Demand

See the introduction and the video for the terms gold basis, co-basis, backwardation and contango.  Fundamental Developments There were big moves in the metals markets this week. The price of gold was up an additional $21 and that of silver $0.30. Will the dollar fall further?As always, we are interested in the fundamentals of supply and demand as measured by the basis. But first, here are the charts of the prices of...

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Forget Tulips & Bitcoin – Here’s The Real Bubble

While the broader market for Swiss stocks has risen modestly this year, one ‘entity’ has outperformed its peers by such a staggering margin, it has left bamboozled market experts struggling for an explanation. And that company is…the Swiss National Bank. The price of a share in Swiss National Bank in August rose above 3,000 francs ($3,143) for the first time, more than double the level of a year ago, and up 50% since...

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FX Daily, September 12: Dollar Sports Heavier Tone as Yesterday’s Bounce Runs out of Steam

(The sporadic updates continue while I am on a two-week business trip. Now in Barcelona, participating in TradeTech FX Europe) Several developments have attracted our attention, but the key take away is that the global capital markets have stabilized after appearing downright frightful at the end of last week, as stocks, yields, and the dollar plummeted. Equities rallied om Monday and there was follow through buying in...

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Red Cross launches new bond to tap private money

The ICRC is the world's largest provider of physical rehabilitation services in developing countries.  (Keystone) - Click to enlarge The Swiss-run International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) has launched the world’s first ‘Humanitarian Impact Bond’, which encourages private sector investment in humanitarian programmes. The innovative “payment-by-results” model centres on a five-year private placement programme...

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Safe Haven Gold Rises To $1338 as U.S. Warns of ‘Massive’ Military Response

– Safe haven gold extends rally to 11-month high after North Korea nuke test and U.S. warns of ‘massive’ response– Asian and European stocks fall, bonds flat, gold, silver, palladium, Swiss franc rise as Korea tensions flare as North Korea tests ‘hydrogen bomb’– North Korea prepares for possible ICBM launch says S. Korea– U.S. warns of ‘massive,’ ‘overwhelming’ military response to North Korea after meeting with Trump...

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