Tag Archives: US growth

Healthy consumer spending figures lead us to believe that US GDP growth might actually be better than we have been forecasting. Inflation pressures look likely to remain modest for a while Real consumer spending in the US rose by a healthy 0.3% month over month in May, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on 29 June, beating consensus expectations. Moreover April’s number was revised up, so that between Q1 and April-May, US personal consumption grew by an astonishing 4.8%...

We retain our above-consensus forecast for the euro area this year, but weak first quarter leads to small cut in outlook for the US The conditions that we identified at the start of the year for a market rebound all subsequently fell into place: support from major central banks was forthcoming, the Chinese economy and the oil price stabilised, the US dollar bull trend paused, and systemic risk declined. Valuations have duly recovered. Now, banks need to start performing for markets to have...