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Tag Archives: Germany Consumer Price Index

Consensus Inflation (Again)

Why did Mario Draghi appeal to NIRP in June 2014? After all, expectations at the time were for a strengthening recovery not just in Europe but all over the world. There were some concerns lingering over currency “irregularities” in 2013 but primarily related to EM’s and not the EU which had emerged from re-recession. The consensus at that time was full recovery not additional “stimulus.” From Bloomberg in January...

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FX Daily, March 30: Euro breaks down against CHF and USD

EUR/CHF The SNB is intervening for 3 bn. CHF per week, this is far too much at these elevated Euro and Dollar levels. With two times positive economic data (here and here) about good news on internal demand, she might be finally be ready to let the euro fall. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, March 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF The Pound to Swiss Franc exchange rate has opened up flat...

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FX Daily, March 14: Brexit Takes Fresh Toll on Sterling, While Dollar Firms more Broadly

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, March 14(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates UK Prime Minister May got the parliamentary approval the courts ruled was necessary to formally trigger Article 50.   It is not clear what UK she will lead out the EU.  Scotland is beginning the legal proceedings to hold another referendum on independence.  There is some talk that Northern Ireland, which...

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FX Daily, January 30: EUR/CHF falls further to 1.650

  Swiss Franc The EUR/CHF collapsed once again to 1.0650. This rate broke the 1.0680 – 1.0700 that constituted the previous intervention area. Reasons can be found in the weak U.S. GDP weak, in Trump’s foreign trade policy and in the strong Swiss trade balance. Who has understand the principles of the balance of payments, knows that private investors and the SNB must export the equivalent of the current account...

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FX Daily, January 03: Dollar-Bloc and Sterling Advance, while Euro and Yen Slip

Swiss Franc Switzerland SVME PMI, December 2016(see more posts on Switzerland SVME PMI, ) Source: Investing.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is mixed.  After a soft start in Asia, where Tokyo markets were closed, the dollar recovered smartly against the euro and yen. The dollar-bloc and sterling are firmer.  Sterling’s earlier losses were recouped following news that the manufacturing PMI jumped to...

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FX Daily, December 13: Narrowly Mixed Dollar Conceals Resilience

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is little changed against most of the major currencies.  The dollar finished yesterday’s North American session on a soft note, but follow through selling has been limited.  After rallying to near 10-month high above JPY116 yesterday, the greenback finished on session lows near JPY115.00. ...

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FX Daily, December 13: Narrowly Mixed Dollar Conceals Resilience

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is little changed against most of the major currencies.  The dollar finished yesterday’s North American session on a soft note, but follow through selling has been limited.  After rallying to near 10-month high above JPY116 yesterday, the greenback finished on session lows near JPY115.00. ...

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FX Daily, October 28: Dollar Sidelined, Krona Stabilizes, Rates Firm

Comment on GBP and CHF by Dayle Littlejohn My articles My siteAbout meMy booksFollow on: Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 28(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Since the UK public decided to vote out of the European Union GBP/CHF exchange rates have dropped 22 cents. To put this into monetary value a 200,000 Swiss Franc purchase now costs an extra £26,000 and I believe...

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FX Daily, October 13: Dollar Edges Higher, though US Rates Soften

Swiss Franc The EUR/CHF remains in the range of 1.0815 to 1.0980. The SNB usually intervenes below 1.0850. I am expecting that speculators are reducing their CHF short positions. More tomorrow. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 13 2016(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is firm, and the euro has slipped below $1.10 for the first time since late-July. Although the dollar’s...

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FX Daily, September 29: Dollar Quietly Bid, while Market is Skeptical of OPEC Deal

Swiss Franc The EUR/CHF has fallen to 1.0862, the downwards tendency since one day before the SNB monetary assessment meeting has continued. Click to enlarge. FX Rates The US dollar has firmer against most major and emerging market currencies. It remains well within its well-worn ranges, which continue to be narrow. A notable exception today is the yen’s weakness. While the majors are mostly off marginally and now...

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