Tag Archives: ECB

Marc Chandler - Click to enlarge Tired of reading what analysts are saying? Here is a 4.3 minute video clip of my discussion earlier today on Bloomberg TV about the outlook for tomorrow’s ECB meeting. The discussion covers various aspects of the ECB’s decision. There does seem to be a broad consensus, which is always a good news/bad news story. Last December, you may recall there also was a consensus, and although...

Summary: ECB will likely extend asset purchases in full. It may modify the rules by which it buys securities. It may adjust the rules of engagement for its securities lending program. The ECB meets tomorrow. The meeting is live in the sense that the central bank is widely expected to take fresh actions, ostensibly backed by new staff forecasts. There are three broad areas that the ECB is expected to address....

Summary: US developments have driven the dollar rally and bond market decline over the past three weeks. Attention shifts to European politics and the ECB meeting. Bank of Canada and the Reserve Bank of Australia meet but are unlikely to change policy. United States There were significant moves in interest rates and currencies last month. The drama was primarily spurred by the solidification of expectations...

Summary: Euro fell to new 20-month lows before steadying. The dollar extended its recovery against the yen. Emerging markets remained under pressure, and Turkey’s central bank surprised with a 50 bp hike in the repo rate. While US markets were closed for the celebration of Thanksgiving, the underlying trends remained intact. Here is a summary of several developments. The euro edged to a new low, a little below...

Remember when bashing central banks and predicting financial collapse as a result of monetary manipulation and intervention was considered “fake news” within the “serious” financial community, disseminated by fringe blogs? Good times. In an interview with Swiss Sonntags Blick titled appropriately enough “A Recession Is Sometimes Necessary“, the former CEO of UBS and Credit Suisse, Oswald Grübel, lashed out by...

Remember when bashing central banks and predicting financial collapse as a result of monetary manipulation and intervention was considered "fake news" within the "serious" financial community, disseminated by fringe blogs? Good times. In an interview with Swiss Sonntags Blick titled appropriately enough "A Recession Is Sometimes Necessary", the former CEO of UBS and Credit Suisse, Oswald Grübel, lashed out by criticizing the growing strength of central banks and their ‘supremacy over the...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF rates have levelled out over the past couple of weeks following some heavy losses earlier this month. The Pound crashed following UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s comments regarding the triggering of Article 50 early next year. Whilst we knew this was coming the timeline was shrouded in uncertainty and the...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 25 2016(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). Source: Investing.com - Click to enlarge The pound had started the week looking more upbeat against the Swiss Franc but soon came under pressure just before Bank of England Governor Mark Carney met with a House of Lords committee about Brexit. There was a sudden 1% fall in the price of sterling in the minutes prior to the...

EUR/CHF The SNB might have been behind the jump from 1.08 towards 1.823 in the last two days. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, October 25 2016(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). Source: Investing.com - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF The pound had started the week looking more upbeat against the Swiss Franc but soon came under pressure just before Bank of England Governor Mark Carney met with a House of Lords committee about...

Summary: Fitch cut Italy’s rating outlook to negative from stable, while DBRS left Portugal’s rating and outlook unchanged. Europe and Canada’s free trade negotiations broke down, but many seem to be making exaggerating the significance of the drama. Japan and Australia report inflation figures, and both are exceptions to the generalization that price pressures are rising in (most) high income countries....