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Tag Archives: ECB policy normalisation

The ECB debates sequencing of policy moves

Some high-ranking ECB officials seem open to the idea of raising negative deposit rates before tapering quantitative easing.Recent comments from ECB executive board member Benoît Coeuré have confirmed that the ECB is likely to make further changes to its communication at its 8 June meeting, moving towards a neutral stance despite a likely downward revision to the 2017 inflation staff forecast. Importantly, Coeuré sounded open to further changes to the ECB’s forward guidance, including a...

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Escaping from planet NIRP

The ECB could announce further changes to its forward guidance in June as part of its exit strategy from negative rates. But we think proper rates normalisation will only start in late 2019.The debate over the ECB’s exit strategy from its negative interest rate policy (NIRP) has started in earnest. Recent comments point to a possible reversal in the exit sequencing, with a deposit rate hike preceding the end of net asset purchases.A one-off adjustment in negative rates would have some...

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