Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 29(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates In thin holiday markets, a correction to the trends seen in Q4 has materialized. The US dollar is heavy. Japanese and European equities are lower. Bonds are firmer. Some reports try to link the moves to the unexpected weakness in the US pending home sales, but this is a stretch and merely seeks to...
Read More »You Know what Happened to Nominal Exchange Rates, but What about Effective Exchange Rates?
Summary: Yen is up slightly this year on an effective trade weighted basis. The euro has gained about 1% this year on an effective trade weighted basis. Sterling’s decline has been significant on an effective basis. The yuan’s decline looks to have corrected overshoot and is still holding an 11-year uptrend on the BIS real effective basis. As investors and traders, we are familiar with the developments in the...
Read More »FX Daily, December 13: Narrowly Mixed Dollar Conceals Resilience
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is little changed against most of the major currencies. The dollar finished yesterday’s North American session on a soft note, but follow through selling has been limited. After rallying to near 10-month high above JPY116 yesterday, the greenback finished on session lows near JPY115.00. ...
Read More »FX Daily, December 13: Narrowly Mixed Dollar Conceals Resilience
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 13(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is little changed against most of the major currencies. The dollar finished yesterday’s North American session on a soft note, but follow through selling has been limited. After rallying to near 10-month high above JPY116 yesterday, the greenback finished on session lows near JPY115.00. ...
Read More »FX Daily, December 08: Dollar Heavy into ECB
Swiss Franc The ECB prolonged its bond purchases, which came unexpected for markets. Consequently the EUR/CHF lost nearly half of its big gains that it registered in the beginning of the week. The ECB expects lower inflation for longer, which makes the life for the SNB harder for longer. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 08(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) Source: Investing.com - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF rates...
Read More »FX Daily, December 08: Dollar Heavy into ECB
Swiss Franc The ECB prolonged its bond purchases, which came unexpected for markets. Consequently the EUR/CHF lost nearly half of its big gains that it registered in the beginning of the week. The ECB expects lower inflation for longer, which makes the life for the SNB harder for longer. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 08(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) Source: Investing.com - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF rates...
Read More »FX Daily, December 07: Greenback is Broadly Steady While Sterling Slides
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 07(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) Source: Investing.com - Click to enlarge The pound has seen a very marked turnaround against the Swiss Franc with almost 8 cents gained in the last few weeks. GBP/CHF appears to have 1.30 in its sights and at this pace it should be there in record time. This week sees a number of political events which are playing out into the...
Read More »FX Daily, November 30: Renewed OPEC Hopes and Month End Featured
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Rates for buying Swiss Francs dollars remain incredibly subdued post Brexit but there has been a general improvement over the last month. Rates for the moment appear to have found support over 1.24 for GBP CHF and this has largely come about following the Trump US presidential election victory. Despite a leaked...
Read More »FX Daily, November 30: Renewed OPEC Hopes and Month End Featured
Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Rates for buying Swiss Francs dollars remain incredibly subdued post Brexit but there has been a general improvement over the last month. Rates for the moment appear to have found support over 1.24 for GBP CHF and this has largely come about following the Trump US presidential election victory. Despite a leaked...
Read More »Great Graphic: Yen and Yuan Connection
The US dollar has rallied against both the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan since the end of September. Through today, the yen has fallen 9.8% and the yuan has fallen by 3.5%. What they have in common is the rise in US interest rates relative to their own. Since September 30, the US 10-year yield has from below 1.60% to above 2.40% at the end of last week. Japan’s 10-year yield has risen from minus nine basis points...
Read More »