Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.13% to 1.0716 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 5(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The S&P 500 gapped higher and surged 1.5% yesterday, the most since in six months, helping set the stage for a continued recovery in global equities, and stoked risk appetites more broadly. An experimental antiviral treatment is to begin clinical testing. All of the markets in the...
Read More »FX Daily, February 4: Relief Rally Fueled by Liquidity not Peak in Coronavirus
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.21% to 1.0701 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, February 4(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The combination of the rally in US shares yesterday and the continued efforts of China to inject liquidity helped lift sentiment today. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index snapped an eight-day slide, and many markets jumped more than 1%. Led by energy and materials, Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx...
Read More »February Monthly
The global capital markets were roiled in recent weeks by the new virus that jumped species in China. It is contagious during the incubation periods and appears similar though more aggressive than SARS in 2003-2004. And China is larger and significantly more integrated into the global political economy. The new coronavirus is impactful in several areas outside of the human tragedy. It is a blow to ideas of better growth impulses to start the year. The outlook...
Read More »FX Daily, February 3: Inauspicious Start to the Year of the (Flying) Rat
Overview: The Year of the Rat is off to an inauspicious start as apparently a fly rat (a bat) virus has jumped to humans. China’s markets re-opening amid much fanfare, and the Shanghai Composite dropped 7.7%, which is about what the futures in Singapore had anticipated. Several other markets in the region (Japan’s Nikkei, Australia, Singapore, Taiwan, and Thailand) fell by more than 1%. However, European and US shares are edging higher, and other measures of...
Read More »FX Daily, January 31: Stocks Finishing on Poor Note, while the Dollar and Bonds Firm
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.09% to 1.0681 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 31(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: It was as if the World Health Organization’s recognition of that the new coronavirus is an international health emergency was the catalyst that the markets needed. US equities recovered smartly and managed to close higher on the session. However, the coattails were short, and...
Read More »FX Daily, January 30: Contagion Impact not Peaked, Weighs on Risk Appetites
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.21% to 1.0689 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The ongoing concerns about the geometric progression of the new coronavirus continues to swamp other considerations for investors. Risk continues to be unwound, as the World Health Organization meets to decide if this is indeed a global health emergency. Several large equity markets...
Read More »FX Daily, January 29: Escaped from a Crocodile’s Mouth, Entered a Tiger’s Mouth
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.10% to 1.0731 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 29(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: This colorful Malay saying captures the spirit of the animal spirits. Narrowly escaping an escalation of a trade war between the world’s two largest economies, the outbreak of a deadly virus has spurred moves, especially the sell-off in stocks and rally in bonds, for which many...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: The Week Ahead and Why the FOMC Meeting may not be the Most Interesting
The week ahead is arguably the most important here at the start of 2020. The Federal Reserve and the Bank of England meet. The US and the eurozone report initial estimates of Q4 19 GDP. The eurozone also reports its preliminary estimate of January CPI. China returns from the extended Lunar New Year celebration and reports its official PMI. Japan will report December retail sales and industrial production. These data points will provide insight into the state of the...
Read More »FX Daily, January 24: Coronavirus Hits Asia Hardest, Europe and the US Resilient
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.04% to 1.0702 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 24(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The new coronavirus in China has moved into the vacuum left by the US-China trade agreement and clear indications that the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, and the Federal Reserve are on hold as investors searched for new drivers. The World Health Organization refrained from...
Read More »FX Daily, January 23: ECB’s Strategic Review and the Coronavirus Command Investors’ Attention
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.27% to 1.0704 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, January 23(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The spread of the coronavirus and the lockdown in the epicenter in China has again sapped the risk-taking appetite in the capital markets. Asia is bearing the brunt of the adjustment. Tomorrow starts China’s week-long Lunar New Year celebration when markets will be closed, which may...
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