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Tag Archives: USD

FX Daily, December 05: Dollar Comes Back Bid, but Still Vulnerable to Corrective Pressures

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates After softening ahead of the weekend, the US dollar has begun the new week on a firm note.  It is gaining against most major and emerging market currencies.  Outside of what appears to be a staged call between US President Elect Trump and the Taiwanese President, the developments in Europe grabbed the...

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FX Weekly Preview: Focus Shifts toward Europe

Summary: US developments have driven the dollar rally and bond market decline over the past three weeks. Attention shifts to European politics and the ECB meeting. Bank of Canada and the Reserve Bank of Australia meet but are unlikely to change policy. United States There were significant moves in interest rates and currencies last month. The drama was primarily spurred by the solidification of expectations...

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What Would Make This Dollar Bull Nervous

Summary: USD had a large rally in November. We had been looking for a short and shallow pullback. Here are thoughts about what would signal an outright correction.   The Federal Reserve’s real broad trade weighted dollar index rose 2.3% in November.  This is the largest monthly advance since September 2011.   This is the measure that officials and economists use to try to assess how the currency movement impact...

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FX Daily, December 02: Is it About US Jobs Today?

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 02(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Federal Reserve The capital markets are finishing the week amid speculation that the driving forces of the past three weeks are ebbing.  Global equities and the dollar may be snapping three-week advances.  The issue is whether it is a consolidation or trend change.   The former is a more prudent assumption until...

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FX Daily, December 02: Is it About US Jobs Today?

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 02(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Federal Reserve The capital markets are finishing the week amid speculation that the driving forces of the past three weeks are ebbing.  Global equities and the dollar may be snapping three-week advances.  The issue is whether it is a consolidation or trend change.   The former is a more prudent assumption until...

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Mixed Jobs Report, but Unlikely to Deter Expectations for Fed Hike

United States The US dollar has slipped lower in response to the jobs data, but quickly recovered. The details are mixed, but is unlikely to change views on the outlook for Fed policy. The headline job creation was in line with expectations at 178k. Job growth of the back two months were shaved by 2k, concentrated in October. U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls, November 2016(see more posts on U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls, ) Source:...

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Mixed Jobs Report, but Unlikely to Deter Expectations for Fed Hike

United States The US dollar has slipped lower in response to the jobs data, but quickly recovered. The details are mixed, but is unlikely to change views on the outlook for Fed policy. The headline job creation was in line with expectations at 178k. Job growth of the back two months were shaved by 2k, concentrated in October. U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls, November 2016(see more posts on U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls, ) Source:...

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FX Daily, November 30: Renewed OPEC Hopes and Month End Featured

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Rates for buying Swiss Francs dollars remain incredibly subdued post Brexit but there has been a general improvement over the last month. Rates for the moment appear to have found support over 1.24 for GBP CHF and this has largely come about following the Trump US presidential election victory. Despite a leaked...

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FX Daily, November 30: Renewed OPEC Hopes and Month End Featured

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 30(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Rates for buying Swiss Francs dollars remain incredibly subdued post Brexit but there has been a general improvement over the last month. Rates for the moment appear to have found support over 1.24 for GBP CHF and this has largely come about following the Trump US presidential election victory. Despite a leaked...

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FX Daily, November 29: Dollar Comes Back Mostly Firmer, but Focus is Elsewhere

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 29(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar correctly lowered yesterday, but most of the selling was over by the end of the Asian session, and the greenback steadied in Europe and North America.  The dollar is firm against the euro and yen but within yesterday’s broad trading ranges.  The Australian and Canadian dollar’s gains from...

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