Tag Archives: US capex

The upswing in US capex defies negative trade headlines.The torrent of coverage about trade tensions hides an important positive development: US corporate investment is flourishing, and there are increasing signs this upswing in capital expenditure (capex) could persist. This could in turn mean that the US business cycle has further room to run, despite its advanced age, and that recession is still some way off.A survey we like to watch, particularly to gauge capex trends, is the quarterly...

While we still believe an increase in capex will contribute significantly to US growth this year, hard data remains uneven.Our 2018 US growth scenario of 3.0% GDP growth in the US is premised on solid non-residential investment growth of 7.0% – itself based on: (1) the positive business environement post tax cuts; (2) strong global growth; and (3) tighter domestic resource and capacity utilisation.In Q1, US investment was up 6.1% y-o-y, down from 6.3% in full-year 2017. So we need US capital...