Tag Archives: Trump tax proposals

We are sceptical that Trump’s tax proposals will make much headway and that what tax cuts are enacted will add much to US growth.President Trump’s ambitious tax plan, just unveiled, aims to simplify and lower tax rates for households and corporates, with the statutory tax rate for the latter to be reduced to 20% from 35%.We remain sceptical that this plan will see its way through Congress given opposition from Democrats and even some Republicans wary about sharp increases in the deficit. The...

Using in-house modelling, we are able to assess the broad consequences of a much-mooted fiscal stimulus on the US economy and the main asset classes.Our core scenario for the US is for real GDP growth of 2% in 2017 and 2.3% in 2018. This assumes that fiscal policy will be only modestly stimulative. However, with the election of Donald Trump as US president, the possibility of a radical change in public policy has increased markedly—possibilities, which enter into our alternative scenarios...