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Tag Archives: S&P 500 Index

SNB announces 24 bn CHF profit for 2016 thanks to rising stock markets.

The Swiss National Bank has announced 24 bn profits for 2016. Profits came from the dollar, yen and Canadian dollar, while the pound retreated by 15%. The EUR/CHF is only slightly weaker, mostly because the SNB actively supported the euro. SNB profits on USD, CAD and JPY, loses on GBP (see more posts on British Pound, Canadian Dollar, Japanese yen, SNB profit, US dollar, )FX rates for USD, JPY, EUR, GBP in 2016 with...

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FX Weekly Review, January 02 – 07: Is the corrective phase of the dollar over?

Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc Index has lost 1% over the course of the last month, while the dollar index improved by 2%. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, January 07(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge   Swiss Franc Currency Index (3 years) The Swiss Franc index is the trade-weighted currency performance (see the currency basket)On a three years...

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FX Weekly Review, December 26 – 30: Dollar Correction Poised to Continue

Swiss Franc Currency Index With last Friday’s break-down of the dollar, the Swiss Franc index could recover a bit. Its loss over December is now 1%. But the dollar index had a gain of 2%. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, December 30(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ) Source: FT.com - Click to enlarge   Swiss Franc Currency Index (3 years) The Swiss Franc index is the trade-weighted currency...

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FX Weekly Review, December 19 – December 23: Assessment of the Dollar’s Technical Condition

While few will be trading in the week between Christmas and New Years, we thought it might be helpful to review the dollar’s technical condition.  We make two overall points. First, although the dollar’s rally strengthened and extended after the November US election, this leg up of the dollar’s longer-term rally began at the end of Q3.  The anticipation of new policies by the Trump Administration, part of the story,...

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FX Weekly Review, December 12 – December 16: Fed Lifts Dollar, but Consolidation may be on Tap

Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index reduced its losses to 2 percent in the last month, while the dollar index is still 2.5 percent up. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, December 16(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ) Source: FT.com - Click to enlarge The chart shows the massive advance of the dollar index in the last three years, while the Swiss Franc index lagged. Swiss Franc Currency Index (3...

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The Exiling of Risk

A Quick Chart Overview Below is an overview of charts we picked to illustrate the current market situation. The selection is a bit random, but not entirely so. The first set of charts concerns positioning and sentiment. As one would expect, these look fairly stretched at the moment, but there are always ways in which they could become even more stretched. First a look at the NAAIM exposure index: NAAIM Exposure Index,...

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FX Weekly Review, December 05 – December 09: Dollar Bulls Running Out of Time to See Parity vs Euro in 2016

Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index remained in a losing position compared to the dollar index. However since November 25, it has remained stable. Given that the ECB extended the QE period, the EUR/CHF has fallen to 1.0730 again. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, December 09(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ) Source: FT.com - Click to enlarge Swiss Franc Currency Index (3 years) The Swiss...

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FX Weekly Review, December 05 – December 09: Dollar Bulls Running Out of Time to See Parity vs Euro in 2016

Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index remained in a losing position compared to the dollar index. However since November 25, it has remained stable. Given that the ECB extended the QE period, the EUR/CHF has fallen to 1.0730 again. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, December 09(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ) Source: FT.com - Click to enlarge Swiss Franc Currency Index (3 years) The Swiss...

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FX Weekly Review, November 28 – December 02: CHF Index still at its 4% loss since U.S. Elections

Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index continued around its 4% loss since the U.S. elections, while the US Dollar index had a 4% increase. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, December 02(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ). Swiss Franc Currency Index (3 years) The Swiss Franc index is the trade-weighted currency performance (see the currency basket) On a three years interval, the Swiss...

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FX Weekly Review, November 21 – November 25: Dollar Strength Losing Steam

Swiss Franc Currency Index At least against the Swiss Franc index, the dollar index could further advance last week. We had observed SNB interventions in the previous week that kept the euro mostly above 1.07. Investors were hedging against the Trump reflation trade and potential inflation that comes with it. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, November 25(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ). Source: FT.com -...

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